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The sample covariance matrix of a random vector is a good estimate of the true covariance matrix if the sample size is much larger than the length of the vector. In high-dimensional problems, this condition is never met. As a result, in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Arseniy Sotskiy

In this article, the solution of a statistical inverse problem $M = AU+\mathcal{E}$ by the Bayesian approach is studied where $U$ is a function on the unit circle $\mathbb{T}$, i.e., a periodic signal. The mapping $A$ is a smoothing linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-07-31 Tapio Helin

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Bayesian experimental design (BED) for complex physical systems is often limited by the nested inference required to estimate the expected information gain (EIG) or its gradients. Each outer sample induces a different posterior, creating a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Huchen Yang , Xinghao Dong , Jinlong Wu

This study investigates an inverse problem associated with a time-fractional HIV infection model incorporating nonlinear diffusion. The model describes the dynamics of uninfected target cells, infected cells, and free virus particles, where…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-01 Mohamed BenSalah , Salih Tatar , Suleyman Ulusoy

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

Nonlinear WKB is a multiscale technique for studying locally-plane-wave solutions of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDE). Its application comprises two steps: (1) replacement of the original PDE with an extended system separating…

数学物理 · 物理学 2020-06-24 J. W. Burby , D. E. Ruiz

We interpret steady linear statistical inverse problems as artificial dynamic systems with white noise and introduce a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system where the inverse of the ending time $T$ naturally plays the role of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-10 Shuai Lu , Pingping Niu , Frank Werner

The ensemble-averaged dynamics of open quantum systems are typically irreversible. We show that this irreversibility need not hold at the level of individually monitored quantum trajectories. Our main results are analytical stochastic…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-12-23 Einar Gabbassov

This paper extends the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems to identify trending model coefficients. This is done by repeatedly inflating the ensemble while maintaining the mean of the particles. As a benchmark serves a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-30 M. Schwenzer , G. Visconti , M. Ay , T. Bergs , M. Herty , D. Abel

Equivariance is a common and natural property of many nonlinear control systems, especially those associated with models of mechatronic and navigation systems. Such systems admit a symmetry, associated with the equivariance, that provides…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-09 Robert Mahony , Pieter van Goor , Tarek Hamel

We consider the inverse problem of estimating an unknown function $u$ from noisy measurements $y$ of a known, possibly nonlinear, map $\mathcal{G}$ applied to $u$. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem and work in a setting where the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-20 Masoumeh Dashti , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss

Many applications, such as intermittent data assimilation, lead to a recursive application of Bayesian inference within a Monte Carlo context. Popular data assimilation algorithms include sequential Monte Carlo methods and ensemble Kalman…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-01-15 Sebastian Reich

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has become a standard methodology for state estimation in high-dimensional systems, yet its various stochastic and deterministic formulations often appear conceptually disconnected. In this paper, a unified…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-21 Jin Won Kim

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle

Inverse problems are more challenging when only partial data are available in general. In this paper, we propose a two-step approach combining the extended sampling method and the ensemble Kalman filter to reconstruct an elastic rigid…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-13 Zhaoxing Li , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

We consider optimal control problems involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations with uncertain inputs. Using the sample average approximation, we obtain optimal control problems with ensembles of deterministic dynamical systems.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-04 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

Ensemble Kalman Sampler (EKS) is a method to find approximately $i.i.d.$ samples from a target distribution. As of today, why the algorithm works and how it converges is mostly unknown. The continuous version of the algorithm is a set of…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li