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相关论文: An Improved and Extended Bayesian Synthetic Contro…

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This paper considers the problem of enhancing user privacy in common machine learning development tasks, such as data annotation and inspection, by substituting the real data with samples form a generative adversarial network. We propose…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Aleksei Triastcyn , Boi Faltings

Bayesian model averaging enables one to combine the disparate predictions of a number of models in a coherent fashion, leading to superior predictive performance. The improvement in performance arises from averaging models that make…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-01 Qingzhao Yu , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

The synthetic control method is a an econometric tool to evaluate causal effects when only one unit is treated. While initially aimed at evaluating the effect of large-scale macroeconomic changes with very few available control units, it…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-22 Marianne Bléhaut , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Jérémy L'Hour , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Autonomous systems often have complex and possibly unknown dynamics due to, e.g., black-box components. This leads to unpredictable behaviors and makes control design with performance guarantees a major challenge. This paper presents a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-10 John Jackson , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

This paper notes a simple connection between synthetic control and online learning. Specifically, we recognize synthetic control as an instance of Follow-The-Leader (FTL). Standard results in online convex optimization then imply that, even…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-16 Jiafeng Chen

We investigate the extent to which offline demonstration data can improve online learning. It is natural to expect some improvement, but the question is how, and by how much? We show that the degree of improvement must depend on the quality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Botao Hao , Rahul Jain , Tor Lattimore , Benjamin Van Roy , Zheng Wen

Sequential fine-tuning of transformers is useful when new data arrive sequentially, especially with shifting distributions. Unlike batch learning, sequential learning demands that training be stabilized despite a small amount of data by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Haoming Jing , Oren Wright , José M. F. Moura , Yorie Nakahira

Tuning control policies manually to meet high-level objectives is often time-consuming. Bayesian optimization provides a data-efficient framework for automating this process using numerical evaluations of an objective function. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Yongpeng Zhao , Sebastian Hirt , Rolf Findeisen

Analog layout synthesis faces significant challenges due to its dependence on manual processes, considerable time requirements, and performance instability. Current Bayesian Optimization (BO)-based techniques for analog layout synthesis,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-09 Guojin Chen , Keren Zhu , Seunggeun Kim , Hanqing Zhu , Yao Lai , Bei Yu , David Z. Pan

Bayesian optimization is proposed for automatic learning of optimal controller parameters from experimental data. A probabilistic description (a Gaussian process) is used to model the unknown function from controller parameters to a…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-01-24 Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Alonso Marco , Dieter Schwarzmann , Sebastian Trimpe

The challenges posed by high-dimensional data and use of the simplex constraint are two major concerns in the empirical application of the synthetic control method (SCM) in econometric studies. To address both issues simultaneously, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Yihong Xu , Quan Zhou

Controller tuning and parameter optimization are crucial in system design to improve closed-loop system performance. Bayesian optimization has been established as an efficient model-free controller tuning and adaptation method. However,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-24 Christopher König , Raamadaas Krishnadas , Efe C. Balta , Alisa Rupenyan

The LLM-as-a-judge paradigm enables flexible, user-defined evaluation, but its effectiveness is often limited by the scarcity of diverse, representative data for refining criteria. We present a tool that integrates synthetic data generation…

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

The paper studies digital redesign of linear time-invariant analog controllers under intermittent sampling. The sampling pattern is only assumed to be uniformly bounded, but otherwise irregular and unknown a priori. The contribution of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-10 Leonid Mirkin

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Model-based filtering is often carried out while subject to an imperfect model, as learning partially-observable stochastic systems remains a challenge. Recent work on Bayesian inference found that tempering the likelihood or full posterior…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-03 Menno van Zutphen , Domagoj Herceg , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Duarte J. Antunes

AI-based persona simulation -- often referred to as digital twin simulation -- is increasingly used for market research, recommender systems, and social sciences. Despite their flexibility, large language models (LLMs) often exhibit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Grace Jiarui Fan , Chengpiao Huang , Tianyi Peng , Kaizheng Wang , Yuhang Wu

We investigate a control technique for spatially extended systems combining spatial filtering with a previously studied form of time-delay feedback. The scheme is naturally suited to real-time control of optical systems. We apply the…

Controller tuning is crucial for closed-loop performance but often involves manual adjustments. Although Bayesian optimization (BO) has been established as a data-efficient method for automated tuning, applying it to large and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-26 Alexander von Rohr , David Stenger , Dominik Scheurenberg , Sebastian Trimpe