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Attitudes toward risk underlie virtually every important economic decision an individual makes. In this experimental study, I examine how introducing a time delay into the execution of an investment plan influences individuals' risk…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-08 Plamen Nikolov

We study a problem of finding an optimal stopping strategy to liquidate an asset with unknown drift. Taking a Bayesian approach, we model the initial beliefs of an individual about the drift parameter by allowing an arbitrary probability…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Predicting the exit (e.g. bankrupt, acquisition, etc.) of privately held companies is a current and relevant problem for investment firms. The difficulty of the problem stems from the lack of reliable, quantitative and publicly available…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Giuseppe Carlo Calafiore , Marisa Hillary Morales , Vittorio Tiozzo , Serge Marquie

When planning transportation whose operation requires non-consumable resources, the peak demand for allocated resources is often of higher interest than the duration of resource usage. For instance, it is more cost-effective to deliver…

Myopic investors are locally rational decision-makers but globally irrational. Their suboptimal portfolios lag the market. As a consequence, other market participants are provided with profit opportunities. Not subterfuge but constrained…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-02-28 Bernhard K Meister

We consider the problem of risk-sensitive control of a stochastic network. In controlling such a network, an escape time criterion can be useful if one wishes to regulate the occurrence of large buffers and buffer overflow. In this paper a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Rami Atar , Paul Dupuis , Adam Shwartz

In this paper we investigate possible approaches to study general time-inconsistent optimization problems without assuming the existence of optimal strategy. This leads immediately to the need to refine the concept of time-consistency as…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-14 Chandrasekhar Karnam , Jin Ma , Jianfeng Zhang

The overwhelming volume and complexity of information in online applications make recommendation essential for users to find information of interest. However, two major limitations that coexist in real world applications (1) incomplete user…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Dilruk Perera , Roger Zimmermann

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

For a sequence of dynamic optimization problems, we aim at discussing a notion of consistency over time. This notion can be informally introduced as follows. At the very first time step $t_0$, the decision maker formulates an optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2010-05-21 Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Guy Cohen , Michel De Lara , Pierre Girardeau

The interval scheduling problem is one variant of the scheduling problem. In this paper, we propose a novel variant of the interval scheduling problem, whose definition is as follows: given jobs are specified by their {\em release times},…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-05-16 Koji M. Kobayashi

Recommender systems have achieved great success in modeling user's preferences on items and predicting the next item the user would consume. Recently, there have been many efforts to utilize time information of users' interactions with…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Junsu Cho , Dongmin Hyun , SeongKu Kang , Hwanjo Yu

We link two phenomena concerning the asymptotical behavior of stochastic processes: (i) abrupt convergence or cut-off phenomenon, and (ii) the escape behavior usually associated to exit from metastability. The former is characterized by…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Javiera Barrera , Olivier Bertoncini , Roberto Fernández

Consider the following multi-phase project management problem. Each project is divided into several phases. All projects enter the next phase at the same point chosen by the decision maker based on observations up to that point. Within each…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Hock Peng Chan , Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

Timing decisions are common: when to file your taxes, finish a referee report, or complete a task at work. We ask whether time preferences can be inferred when \textsl{only} task completion is observed. To answer this question, we analyze…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-13 Paul Heidhues , Philipp Strack

We study optimal investment problems under the framework of cumulative prospect theory (CPT). A CPT investor makes investment decisions in a single-period financial market with transaction costs. The objective is to seek the optimal…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2016-11-15 Bin Zou , Rudi Zagst

Large-scale controlled evacuations require emergency services to select evacuation routes, decide departure times, and mobilize resources to issue orders, all under strict time constraints. Existing algorithms almost always allow for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-12 Caroline Even , Andreas Schutt , Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper develops a model of reference-dependent assessment of subjective beliefs in which loss-averse people optimally choose the expectation as the reference point to balance the current felicity from the optimistic anticipation and the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-10-14 Si Chen

The energy and material processing industries are traditionally characterized by very large-scale physical capital that is custom-built with long lead times and long lifetimes. However, recent technological advancement in low-cost…

经济学 · 定量金融 2015-03-31 Eric Dahlgren , Tim Leung

Obtaining a viable schedule baseline that meets all project constraints is one of the main issues for project managers. The literature on this topic focuses mainly on methods to obtain schedules that meet resource restrictions and, more…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-04 Fernando Acebes , David Poza , Jose M Gonzalez-Varona , Javier Pajares , Adolfo Lopez-Paredes