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Transparency is an essential requirement of machine learning based decision making systems that are deployed in real world. Often, transparency of a given system is achieved by providing explanations of the behavior and predictions of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

In mechanism design it is typical to impose incentive compatibility and then derive an optimal mechanism subject to this constraint. By replacing the incentive compatibility requirement with the goal of minimizing expected ex post regret,…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-08-07 Paul Duetting , Felix Fischer , Pitchayut Jirapinyo , John K. Lai , Benjamin Lubin , David C. Parkes

This paper introduces a formulation of the optimal network compression problem for financial systems. This general formulation is presented for different levels of network compression or rerouting allowed from the initial interbank network.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-07-14 Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

In [1] Zawadoski introduces a banking network model in which the asset and counter-party risks are treated separately and the banks hedge their assets risks by appropriate OTC contracts. In his model, each bank has only two counter-party…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-08-20 Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder

This study intends to present a representation of a pensions fund through a stochastic network with two infinite servers nodes. With this representation it is allowed to deduce an equilibrium condition of the system with basis on the…

Percolation is an emblematic model to assess the robustness of interconnected systems when some of their components are corrupted. It is usually investigated in simple scenarios, such as the removal of the system's units in random order, or…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-03 Oriol Artime , Manlio De Domenico

Credit networks rely on decentralized, pairwise trust relationships (channels) to exchange money or goods. Credit networks arise naturally in many financial systems, including the recent construct of payment channel networks in blockchain…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Vibhaalakshmi Sivaraman , Weizhao Tang , Shaileshh Bojja Venkatakrishnan , Giulia Fanti , Mohammad Alizadeh

With the development of the financial industry, credit default prediction, as an important task in financial risk management, has received increasing attention. Traditional credit default prediction methods mostly rely on machine learning…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-12-25 Yuhan Wang , Zhen Xu , Yue Yao , Jinsong Liu , Jiating Lin

Valuing corporate bonds in systemic economies is challenging due to intricate webs of inter-institutional exposures. When a bank defaults, cascading losses propagate through the network, with payments determined by a system of fixed-point…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-16 Dohyun Ahn , Agostino Capponi

We study pricing and (super)hedging for American options in an imperfect market model with default, where the imperfections are taken into account via the nonlinearity of the wealth dynamics. The payoff is given by an RCLL adapted process…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2017-08-30 Roxana Dumitrescu , Marie-Claire Quenez , Agnès Sulem

Global catastrophic risk events, such as nuclear war, pose a severe threat to the stability of international financial systems. As evidenced by even less severe scenarios like the Great Recession, an economic failure can propagate through…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-19 Łukasz G. Gajewski , Michael Hinge , David Denkenberger

This work explores the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose links distributions approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks balance sheets from information of network connectivity. By varying the parameters…

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Fair resource allocation is a fundamental optimization problem with applications in operations research, networking, and economic and game theory. Research in these areas has led to the general acceptance of a class of $\alpha$-fair utility…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-11-17 Jelena Diakonikolas , Maryam Fazel , Lorenzo Orecchia

Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-03-25 Paolo Tasca , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

Groups of enterprises can serve as guarantees for one another and form complex networks when obtaining loans from commercial banks. During economic slowdowns, corporate default may spread like a virus and lead to large-scale defaults or…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-09-01 Zhibin Niu , Runlin Li , Junqi Wu , Dawei Cheng , Jiawan Zhang

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

Within the framework of maximum entropy principle we show that the finite-size long-range Ising model is the adequate model for the description of homogeneous credit portfolios and the computation of credit risk when default correlations…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Jordi Molins , Eduard Vives

A networked system can fail when most of its components are unable to support flux through the nodes and edges. As studied earlier this scenario can be triggered by an external perturbation such as an intentional attack on nodes or for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-15 Shaunak Roy , Vimal Kishore , M. S. Santhanam

Internet finance is a new financial model that applies Internet technology to payment, capital borrowing and lending and transaction processing. In order to study the internal risks, this paper uses the Internet financial risk elements as…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-01-08 Runjie Xu , Chuanmin Mi , Rafal Mierzwiak , Runyu Meng