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The implementation of social distancing policies is key to reducing the impact of the current COVID-19 pandemic. However, their effectiveness ultimately depends on human behavior. In the United States, compliance with social distancing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-29 Christopher Parker , Jorge M. Mejia , Franco Pestilli

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have tried to keep their territories safe by isolating themselves from others, limiting non-essential travel and imposing mandatory quarantines for travelers. While large-scale quarantine has been…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-08 Olha Buchel , Anton Ninkov , Danise Cathel , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Leila Hedayatifar

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

Background: The impact of individual non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as state-wide stay-at-home orders, school closures and gathering size limitations, on the COVID-19 epidemic is unknown. Understanding the impact that above…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-27 Ian E. Fellows , Rachel B. Slayton , Avi J. Hakim

In recent years, we have seen scientists attempt to model and explain human dynamics and, in particular, human movement. Many aspects of our complex life are affected by human movements such as disease spread and epidemics modeling, city…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-11-05 Hugo Barbosa , Fernando Buarque de Lima Neto , Alexandre Evsukoff , Ronaldo Menezes

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

The availability of cellphone geolocation data provides a remarkable opportunity to study human mobility patterns and how these patterns are affected by the recent pandemic. Two simple centrality metrics allow us to measure two different…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Oscar Fontanelli , Dulce I. Valdivia , Guillermo Romero , Oliver Medina , Wentian Li , Maribel Hernández-Rosales

Understanding dynamic human mobility changes and spatial interaction patterns at different geographic scales is crucial for assessing the impacts of non-pharmaceutical interventions (such as stay-at-home orders) during the COVID-19…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Yuhao Kang , Song Gao , Yunlei Liang , Mingxiao Li , Jinmeng Rao , Jake Kruse

It is very important to understand urban mobility patterns because most trips are concentrated in urban areas. In the paper, a new model is proposed to model collective human mobility in urban areas. The model can be applied to predict…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-28 Xiao Liang , Jichang Zhao , Li Dong , Ke Xu

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

When considering airborne epidemic spreading in social systems, a natural connection arises between mobility and epidemic contacts. As individuals travel, possibilities to encounter new people either at the final destination or during the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Jesús A. Moreno López , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

Host mobility plays a fundamental role in the spatial spread of infectious diseases. Previous theoretical works based on the integration of network theory into the metapopulation framework have shown that the heterogeneities that…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-26 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

Human mobility forms the backbone of contact patterns through which infectious diseases propagate, fundamentally shaping the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics and pandemics. While traditional models are often based on the assumption…

Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-04-03 Pablo de Castro , Felipe Urbina , Ariel Norambuena , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

Human mobility patterns are surprisingly structured. In spite of many hard to model factors, such as climate, culture, and socioeconomic opportunities, aggregate migration rates obey a universal, parameter-free, `radiation' model. Recent…

We analyze the spread of COVID-19 by considering the transmission of the disease among individuals both within and between regions. A set of regions can be defined as any partition of a population such that travel/social contact within each…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-11 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Yaneer Bar-Yam

This paper investigates the impact of human activity and mobility (HAM) in the spreading dynamics of an epidemic. Specifically, it explores the interconnections between HAM and its effect on the early spread of the COVID-19 virus. During…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-06 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Chinwendu Enyioha , Suddhasattwa Das

The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has swept across more than 180 countries and territories since late January 2020. As a worldwide emergency response, governments have implemented various measures and policies, such as…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Chuang Yang , Zhiwen Zhang , Zipei Fan , Renhe Jiang , Quanjun Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

This study develops a framework for quantification of the impact of changes in population mobility due to social distancing on the COVID-19 infection growth rate. Using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-05 Benjamin Seibold , Zivjena Vucetic , Slobodan Vucetic

Background: The novel coronavirus, COVID-19, was first detected in the United States in January 2020. To curb the spread of the disease in mid-March, different states issued mandatory stay-at-home (SAH) orders. These nonpharmaceutical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Nandini Raghuraman , Kartik Kaushik