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Restrictions on social and economic activities, as well as vaccinations, have been a key intervention in containing the COVID-19 epidemic. Our work focuses on better understanding the options available to policymakers under the conditions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-07 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a severe global pandemic that has claimed millions of lives and continues to overwhelm public health systems in many countries. The spread of COVID-19 pandemic has negatively impacted the human…

Testing is an important part of tackling the COVID-19 pandemic. Availability of testing is a bottleneck due to constrained resources and effective prioritization of individuals is necessary. Here, we discuss the impact of different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-30 Hagit Grushka-Cohen , Raphael Cohen , Bracha Shapira , Jacob Moran-Gilad , Lior Rokach

The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Such models are usually defined as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into compartments…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-16 Malú Grave , Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Alessandro Reali , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

This study empirically investigates the complex interplay between the severity of the coronavirus pandemic, mobility changes in retail and recreation, transit stations, workplaces, and residential areas, and lockdown measures in 88…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-06 Md. Mokhlesur Rahman , Jean-Claude Thill , Kamal Chandra Paul

In this paper, we formulate a Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) to plan appropriate social distancing measures (and relaxations) in order to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic effects, considering the contagion development in Brazil.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-21 Marcelo M. Morato , Igor M. L. Pataro , Marcus V. Americano da Costa , Julio E. Normey-Rico

The cataclysmic contagion based calamity -- Covid-19 has shown us a clear need for a comprehensive community based strategy that overcomes the sheer complexity of controlling it and the caveats of current methods. In this regard, as seen in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-17 Surya Dheeshjith , Inavamsi Enaganti , Bud Mishra

Currently, Brazil has one of the fastest increasing COVID-19 epidemics in the world, that has caused at least 94 thousand confirmed deaths until now. The city of Sao Paulo is particularly vulnerable because it is the most populous in the…

Countries and cities around the world have resorted to unprecedented mobility restrictions to combat Covid-19 transmission. Here we exploit a natural experiment whereby Colombian cities implemented varied lockdown policies based on ID…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-06 Samuel Heroy , Isabella Loaiza , Alexander Pentland , Neave O'Clery

Contact tracing has been extensively studied from different perspectives in recent years. However, there is no clear indication of why this intervention has proven effective in some epidemics (SARS) and mostly ineffective in some others…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-01 Quyu Kong , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Ivan Dotu , Manuel Cebrian

The epidemiology of pandemics is classically viewed using geographical and political borders; however, these artificial divisions can result in a misunderstanding of the current epidemiological state within a given region. To improve upon…

Social distancing and stay-at-home are among the few measures that are known to be effective in checking the spread of a pandemic such as COVID-19 in a given population. The patterns of dependency between such measures and their effects on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Frank Nielsen , Gautier Marti , Sumanta Ray , Saumyadipta Pyne

Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…

COVID-19 has caused lasting damage to almost every domain in public health, society, and economy. To monitor the pandemic trend, existing studies rely on the aggregation of traditional statistical models and epidemic spread theory. In other…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Yichao Zhou , Jyun-yu Jiang , Xiusi Chen , Wei Wang

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

The COVID-19 pandemic poses challenges for continuing economic activity while reducing health risks. While these challenges can be mitigated through testing, testing budget is often limited. Here we study how institutions, such as nursing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-01-05 Janni Yuval , Mor Nitzan , Neta Ravid Tannenbaum , Boaz Barak

One of the more widely advocated solutions for slowing down the spread of COVID-19 has been automated contact tracing. Since proximity data can be collected by personal mobile devices, the natural proposal has been to use this for automated…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-10-09 Hyunju Kim , Ayan Paul

Efficient personnel scheduling plays a significant role in matching workload demand in organizations. However, staff scheduling is sometimes affected by unexpected events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, that disrupt regular operations.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-10 Mansoor Davoodi , Ana Batista , Abhishek Senapati , Justin M. Calabrese

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

The effective control of the COVID-19 pandemic is one the most challenging issues of nowadays. The design of optimal control policies is perplexed from a variety of social, political, economical and epidemiological factors. Here, based on…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-03-16 Antonis Armaou , Bryce Katch , Lucia Russo , Constantinos Siettos