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Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-10 E. Bradford , L. Imsland

Equations governing physico-chemical processes are usually known at microscopic spatial scales, yet one suspects that there exist equations, e.g. in the form of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), that can explain the system evolution at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-31 Hassan Arbabi , Ioannis Kevrekidis

Artificial Intelligence and Machine learning have been widely used in various fields of mathematical computing, physical modeling, computational science, communication science, and stochastic analysis. Approaches based on Deep Artificial…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Sergey Oladyshkin , Timothy Praditia , Ilja Kröker , Farid Mohammadi , Wolfgang Nowak , Sebastian Otte

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

This paper introduces Tree-based Polynomial Chaos Expansion (Tree-PCE), a novel surrogate modeling technique designed to efficiently approximate complex numerical models exhibiting nonlinearities and discontinuities. Tree-PCE combines the…

Numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations over long time intervals poses significant computational challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel recursive polynomial chaos evolution method that achieves model reduction…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-06 Guillaume Bal , Shengbo Ma , Su Zhang , Zhiwen Zhang

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Spatially distributed problems are often approximately modelled in terms of partial differential equations (PDEs) for appropriate coarse-grained quantities (e.g. concentrations). The derivation of accurate such PDEs starting from finer…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 Liang Qiao , Radek Erban , C. T. Kelley , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

In this work, we consider optimal control problems constrained by elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with lognormal random coefficients, which are represented by a countably infinite-dimensional random parameter with i.i.d.…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-14 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

Physics-informed polynomial chaos expansions (PC$^2$) provide an efficient physically constrained surrogate modeling framework by embedding governing equations and other physical constraints into the standard data-driven polynomial chaos…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Qitian Lu , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields , Lukáš Novák

The recently introduced basis adaptation method for Homogeneous (Wiener) Chaos expansions is explored in a new context where the rotation/projection matrices are computed by discovering the active subspace where the random input exhibits…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-07-04 Panagiotis A. Tsilifis

The polynomial chaos (PC) expansion has been widely used as a surrogate model in the Bayesian inference to speed up the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) calculations. However, the use of a PC surrogate introduces the modeling error, that may…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-20 Liang Yan , Tao Zhou

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson

The increasing uncertainty level caused by growing renewable energy sources (RES) and aging transmission networks poses a great challenge in the assessment of total transfer capability (TTC) and available transfer capability (ATC). In this…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-29 Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang , Hao Sheng , Xi Lin

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci