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This paper introduces a new approach to address the issue of class imbalance in graph neural networks (GNNs) for learning on graph-structured data. Our approach integrates imbalanced node classification and Bias-Variance Decomposition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Liang Yan , Gengchen Wei , Chen Yang , Shengzhong Zhang , Zengfeng Huang

In this paper, a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) model is studied when both low and high frequency variables are contaminated with measurement error. It is shown that the profile likelihood estimator becomes inconsistent in the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Sukhbir Kaur , Sukhbir Singh , Kanchan Jain , Pooja Soni

For research to go in the right direction, it is essential to be able to compare and quantify performance of different algorithms focused on the same problem. Choosing a suitable evaluation metric requires deep understanding of the pursued…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-05 Jan Brabec , Lukas Machlica

Handling uncertainty in model predictive control comes with various challenges, especially when considering state constraints under uncertainty. Most methods focus on either the conservative approach of robustly accounting for uncertainty…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-03 Michael Fink , Tim Brüdigam , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In machine learning, a bias occurs whenever training sets are not representative for the test data, which results in unreliable models. The most common biases in data are arguably class imbalance and covariate shift. In this work, we aim to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Patrick Glauner , Radu State , Petko Valtchev , Diogo Duarte

We consider the problem of efficient statistical inference for comparing two regression curves estimated from two samples of dependent measurements. Based on a representation of the best pair of linear unbiased estimators in continuous time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-29 Holger Dette , Kirsten Schorning , Maria Konstantinou

The analysis of platform trials can be enhanced by utilizing non-concurrent controls. Since including this data might also introduce bias in the treatment effect estimators if time trends are present, methods for incorporating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Pavla Krotka , Martin Posch , Marta Bofill Roig

We show optimality, in a well-defined sense, using cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts for detecting changes in distributions. We consider a setting with multiple changes between two known distributions. This result advocates the use of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-10 F. Din-Houn Lau , Axel Gandy

Unmeasured confounding is a threat to causal inference in observational studies. In recent years, use of negative controls to mitigate unmeasured confounding has gained increasing recognition and popularity. Negative controls have a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-05 Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Jennifer C. Nelson , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

Flexible variational distributions improve variational inference but are harder to optimize. In this work we present a control variate that is applicable for any reparameterizable distribution with known mean and covariance matrix, e.g.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

Tuning parameters in supervised learning problems are often estimated by cross-validation. The minimum value of the cross-validation error can be biased downward as an estimate of the test error at that same value of the tuning parameter.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-21 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Robert Tibshirani

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimization for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. Several statistical examples and motivations are given. These procedures extend the empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-24 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

In particle physics, as in many areas of science, parameter inference relies on simulations to bridge the gap between theory and experiment. Recent developments in simulation-based inference have boosted the sensitivity of analyses;…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2026-04-23 Ezequiel Alvarez , Sean Benevedes , Manuel Szewc , Jesse Thaler

We study hybrid control trials (HCTs), in which a randomized controlled trial (RCT) is augmented with external control patients. Existing approaches for HCTs typically assume conditional exchangeability of the concurrent and external…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Alissa Gordon , Emilie Højbjerre-Frandsen , Alejandro Schuler

The determination of the sample size required by a crossover trial typically depends on the specification of one or more variance components. Uncertainty about the value of these parameters at the design stage means that there is often a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

In this paper, we study a fault-tolerant control for systems consisting of multiple homogeneous components such as parallel processing machines. This type of system is often more robust to uncertainty compared to those with a single…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-03 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

The chain graph model admits both undirected and directed edges in one graph, where symmetric conditional dependencies are encoded via undirected edges and asymmetric causal relations are encoded via directed edges. Though frequently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Ruixuan Zhao , Haoran Zhang , Junhui Wang

We consider a class of finite-horizon, linear-quadratic stochastic control problems, where the probability distribution governing the noise process is unknown but assumed to belong to an ambiguity set consisting of all distributions whose…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

This paper presents a conformal prediction method for classification in highly imbalanced and open-set settings, where there are many possible classes and not all may be represented in the data. Existing approaches require a finite, known…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-16 Tianmin Xie , Yanfei Zhou , Ziyi Liang , Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia