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We present general principles for the design and analysis of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators in a wide range of settings. Our estimators posses finite work-normalized variance under mild regularity conditions. We apply our estimators to…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yanan Pei

Unbiased estimators are introduced for averaged Bregman divergences which generalize Stein's Unbiased (Predictive) Risk Estimator, and the minimization of these estimators is proposed as a regularization parameter selection method for…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-11-22 Elias S. Helou , Sandra A. Santos , Lucas E. A. Simões

Before new clinical measurement methods are implemented in clinical practice, it must be confirmed whether their results are equivalent to those of existing methods. The agreement of the trend between these methods is evaluated using the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Toshio Shimokawa

The effect of measurement errors in discriminant analysis is investigated. Given observations $Z=X+\epsilon$, where $\epsilon$ denotes a random noise, the goal is to predict the density of $X$ among two possible candidates $f$ and $g$. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-13 Sébastien Loustau , Clément Marteau

It is a common phenomenon that for high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models, rate-optimal estimators balance squared bias and variance. Although this balancing is widely observed, little is known whether methods exist that…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

We study the problem of variance estimation in general graph-structured problems. First, we develop a linear time estimator for the homoscedastic case that can consistently estimate the variance in general graphs. We show that our estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-20 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We propose a new \textit{quadratic programming-based} method of approximating a nonstandard density using a multivariate Gaussian density. Such nonstandard densities usually arise while developing posterior samplers for unobserved…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-14 Abhishek K. Umrawal , Joshua C. C. Chan

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

Pairwise comparison matrices are increasingly used in settings where some pairs are missing. However, there exist few inconsistency indices for similar incomplete data sets and no reasonable measure has an associated threshold. This paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-03 Kolos Csaba Ágoston , László Csató

While Robust Model Predictive Control considers the worst-case system uncertainty, Stochastic Model Predictive Control, using chance constraints, provides less conservative solutions by allowing a certain constraint violation probability…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Victor Gaßmann , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

We consider the estimation of quadratic functionals in a Gaussian sequence model where the eigenvalues are supposed to be unknown and accessible through noisy observations only. Imposing smoothness assumptions both on the signal and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-16 Martin Kroll

Phase I distribution-free runs- and patterns-type control charts are proposed for monitoring the unknown target value (or location parameter) for both continuous and discrete individual observations. Our approach maintains the nominal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Tung-Lung Wu

In Statistical Process Control, control charts are often used to detect undesirable behavior of sequentially observed quality characteristics. Designing a control chart with desirably low False Alarm Rate (FAR) and detection delay ($ARL_1$)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-07 Takayuki Iguchi , Andrés F. Barrientos , Eric Chicken , Debajyoti Sinha

We present a new approach to parametric robust controller design, where we compute controllers of arbitrary order and structure which minimize the worst-case $H_\infty$ norm over a pre-specified set of uncertain parameters. At the core of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 P. Apkarian , M. N. Dao , D. Noll

Approximate inference in complex probabilistic models such as deep Gaussian processes requires the optimisation of doubly stochastic objective functions. These objectives incorporate randomness both from mini-batch subsampling of the data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-26 Ayman Boustati , Sattar Vakili , James Hensman , ST John

High-gain nonlinear observers occur in the nonlinear automatic control theory and are in standard usage in chemical engineering processes. We apply such a type of analysis in the context of a very simple one-gene regulation circuit. In…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2007-07-16 L. A. Torres , V. Ibarra-Junquera , P. Escalante-Minakata , H. C. Rosu

The practice of uncertainty quantification (UQ) validation, notably in machine learning for the physico-chemical sciences, rests on several graphical methods (scattering plots, calibration curves, reliability diagrams and confidence curves)…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-03-31 Pascal Pernot

This paper consider an MMLE (Modified Maximum Likelihood Estimation) based scheme to estimate software reliability using exponential distribution. The MMLE is one of the generalized frameworks of software reliability models of Non…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2011-11-09 R. Satya Prasad , Bandla Sreenivasa Rao , R. R. L. Kantam
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