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Non-randomized treatment effect models are widely used for the assessment of treatment effects in various fields and in particular social science disciplines like political science, psychometry, psychology. More specifically, these are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

Estimating causal effects with propensity scores relies upon the availability of treated and untreated units observed at each value of the estimated propensity score. In settings with strong confounding, limited so-called "overlap" in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-25 Corwin M Zigler , Matthew Cefalu

Adaptive sample size re-estimation (SSR) is a well-established strategy for improving the efficiency and flexibility of clinical trials. Its central challenge is determining whether, and by how much, to increase the sample size at an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Rui Jin , Cai Wu , Qiqi Deng

There has been significant attention given to developing data-driven methods for tailoring patient care based on individual patient characteristics. Dynamic treatment regimes formalize this through a sequence of decision rules that map…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Eric J. Rose , Erica E. M. Moodie , Susan Shortreed

Before embarking on data collection, researchers typically compute how many individual observations they should do. This is vital for doing studies with sufficient statistical power, and often a cornerstone in study pre-registrations and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Edwin S Dalmaijer

Use of historical control data to augment a small internal control arm in a randomized control trial (RCT) can lead to significant improvement of the efficiency of the trial. It introduces the risk of potential bias, since the historical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-05 Jixian Wang , Hongtao Zhang , Ram Tiwari

When constructing a model to estimate the causal effect of a treatment, it is necessary to control for other factors which may have confounding effects. Because the ignorability assumption is not testable, however, it is usually unclear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , Jared S. Murray

In this article, we aim to provide a general and complete understanding of semi-supervised (SS) causal inference for treatment effects. Specifically, we consider two such estimands: (a) the average treatment effect and (b) the quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-15 Abhishek Chakrabortty , Guorong Dai

Technological advancements in the field of mobile devices and wearable sensors have helped overcome obstacles in the delivery of care, making it possible to deliver behavioral treatments anytime and anywhere. Increasingly the delivery of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-13 Walter Dempsey , Peng Liao , Santosh Kumar , Susan A. Murphy

Neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's often exhibit complex, multivariate longitudinal outcomes that require advanced statistical methods to comprehensively evaluate treatment efficacy. The Longitudinal Rank Sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Xiaoming Xu , Sheng Luo

The Bayesian expected power (BEP) has become increasingly popular in sample size determination and assessment of the probability of success (POS) for a future trial. The BEP takes into consideration the uncertainty around the parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Fang Liu

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-24 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

The principle of allocating an equal number of patients to each arm in a randomized controlled trial remains widely believed to be optimal for maximising statistical power. However, this long-held belief only holds true if the treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Lukas Pin , Stef Baas , David S. Robertson , Sofía S. Villar

In early-phase cancer clinical trials, the limited availability of data presents significant challenges in developing a framework to efficiently quantify treatment effectiveness. To address this, we propose a novel utility-based Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Saurabh Bhandari , Michael J. Daniels , Chenguang Wang

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for evaluating the efficacy of an intervention. However, there is often a trade-off between selecting the most scientifically relevant primary endpoint versus a less relevant, but more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Jack M. Wolf , Joseph S. Koopmeiners , David M. Vock

This study proposes a new Bayesian approach to infer binary treatment effects. The approach treats counterfactual untreated outcomes as missing observations and infers them by completing a matrix composed of realized and potential untreated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Masahiro Tanaka

We propose a score-based generative algorithm for sampling from power-scaled priors and likelihoods within the Bayesian inference framework. Our algorithm enables flexible control over prior-likelihood influence without requiring retraining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Huseyin Tuna Erdinc , Yunlin Zeng , Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Felix J. Herrmann

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often include subgroup analyses to assess whether treatment effects vary across pre-specified patient populations. However, these analyses frequently suffer from small sample sizes which limit the power…

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to evaluate the causal effect of treatment in a randomized trial where a nonterminal event may be censored by a terminal event, but not vice versa (i.e., semi-competing risks). Based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-23 Yanxun Xu , Daniel Scharfstein , Peter Müller , Michael Daniels

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar