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Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

When estimating area means, direct estimators based on area-specific data, are usually consistent under the sampling design without model assumptions. However, they are inefficient if the area sample size is small. In small area estimation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 William Acero , Isabel Molina , J. Miguel Marín

In small area estimation, it is a smart strategy to rely on data measured over time. However, linear mixed models struggle to properly capture time dependencies when the number of lags is large. Given the lack of published studies…

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu

Estimating characteristics of domains (referred to as small areas) within a population from sample surveys of the population is an important problem in survey statistics. In this paper, we consider model-based small area estimation under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

In regression models involving economic variables such as income, log transformation is typically taken to achieve approximate normality and stabilize the variance. However, often the interest is predicting individual values or means of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-25 Nirian Martin , Isabel Molina

This paper introduces area-level Poisson mixed models with temporal and SAR(1) spatially correlated random effects. Small area predictors of the proportions and counts of a dichotomic variable are derived from the new models and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-02 M. Boubeta , M. J. Lombardía , F. Marey-Pérez , D. Morales

In this paper we propose a flexible nested error regression small area model with high dimensional parameter that incorporates heterogeneity in regression coefficients and variance components. We develop a new robust small area specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-26 Partha Lahiri , Nicola Salvati

For analyzing unit-level multivariate data in small area estimation, we consider the multivariate nested error regression model (MNER) and provide the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area characteristic based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Nested-error regression models are widely used for analyzing clustered data. For example, they are often applied to two-stage sample surveys, and in biology and econometrics. Prediction is usually the main goal of such analyses, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Tapabrata Maiti

We introduce a new small area predictor when the Fay-Herriot normal error model is fitted to a logarithmically transformed response variable, and the covariate is measured with error. This framework has been previously studied by Mosaferi…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-23 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Small area estimation methods are used in surveys, where sample sizes are too small to get reliable direct estimates of parameters in some population domains. We consider design-based linear combinations of direct and synthetic estimators…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-22 Andrius Čiginas

Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the Fay-Herriot type area-level model with random dispersions, which models the case that the sampling errors change from area to area. The resulting Bayes estimator shrinks both means and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-30 Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The Nested Error Regression Model with High-Dimensional Parameters (NERHDP) is extended to address challenges in small area poverty estimation. A robust and flexible framework is proposed to derive empirical best predictors (EBPs) of small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Yuting Chen , Partha Lahiri , Nicola Salvati

In small area estimation different data sources are integrated in order to produce reliable estimates of target parameters (e.g., a mean or a proportion) for a collection of small subsets (areas) of a finite population. Regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati , Martin Slawski

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Two-stage hierarchical models have been widely used in small area estimation to produce indirect estimates of areal means. When the areas are treated exchangeably and the model parameters are assumed to be the same over all areas, we might…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-10 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Yuki Kawakubo , Kota Ogasawara
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