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The covariance of two random variables measures the average joint deviations from their respective means. We generalise this well-known measure by replacing the means with other statistical functionals such as quantiles, expectiles, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-22 Tobias Fissler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

The volatility of financial instruments is rarely constant, and usually varies over time. This creates a phenomenon called volatility clustering, where large price movements on one day are followed by similarly large movements on successive…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

The risk of financial positions is measured by the minimum amount of capital to raise and invest in eligible portfolios of traded assets in order to meet a prescribed acceptability constraint. We investigate nondegeneracy, finiteness and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-03-05 Walter Farkas , Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari

This paper considers the case of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps under the class of equity-interest rate hybridization. Our modeling framework consists of the equity which follows the dynamics of the Heston stochastic volatility…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-04-14 Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan , Wenjun Zhang , Jiling Cao

In this work we analyze the concept of swap-invariance, which is a weaker variant of exchangeability. A random vector $\xi$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is called swap-invariant if $\,{\mathbf E}\,\big| \!\sum_j u_j \xi_j \big|\,$ is invariant under…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-06 Felix Nagel

This paper presents a comparative analysis of univariate and multivariate GARCH-family models and machine learning algorithms in modeling and forecasting the volatility of major energy commodities: crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-31 Seulki Chung

We show that the Markowitz portfolio is a scalar multiple of another portfolio which replaces the covariance with the second moment matrix, via simple application of the Sherman-Morrison identity. Moreover it is shown that when using…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-27 Steven E. Pav

This paper offers a precise analytical characterization of the distribution of returns for a portfolio constituted of assets whose returns are described by an arbitrary joint multivariate distribution. In this goal, we introduce a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 D. Sornette , P. Simonetti , J. V. Andersen

We estimate the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the high-dimensional case using results from random matrix theory. This approach leads to a shrinkage-type estimator which is distribution-free and it is optimal in the sense of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Richard Glennie , Théo Michelot

Let $X_{\lambda_1}, \ldots , X_{\lambda_n}$ be independent non-negative random variables belong to the transmuted-G model and let $Y_i=I_{p_i} X_{\lambda_i}$, $i=1,\ldots,n$, where $I_{p_1}, \ldots, I_{p_n}$ are independent Bernoulli random…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Hossein Nadeb , Hamzeh Torabi , Ali Dolati

How can we limit wealth disparities while stimulating economic flows in sustainable societies? To examine the link between these concepts, we propose an econophysics asset exchange model with the surplus stock of the wealthy. The wealthy…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-08 Takeshi Kato , Yoshinori Hiroi

Entropy based ideas find wide-ranging applications in finance for calibrating models of portfolio risk as well as options pricing. The abstracted problem, extensively studied in the literature, corresponds to finding a probability measure…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-11-04 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

In this paper, we study the inequality indices for some models of wealth exchange. We calculated Gini index and newly introduced k-index and compare the results with reported empirical data available for different countries. We have found…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-21 Asim Ghosh , Arnab Chatterjee , Jun-ichi Inoue , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

In this study, we have investigated empirically the effects of market properties on the degree of diversification of investment weights among stocks in a portfolio. The weights of stocks within a portfolio were determined on the basis of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2009-02-24 Cheoljun Eom , Jongwon Park , Woo-Sung Jung , Taisei Kaizoji , Yong H. Kim

Markov chain Monte Carlo is widely used in a variety of scientific applications to generate approximate samples from intractable distributions. A thorough understanding of the convergence and mixing properties of these Markov chains can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

We derive representations of local risk-minimization of call and put options for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models: jump type stochastic volatility models whose squared volatility process is given by a non-Gaussian rnstein-Uhlenbeck…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-05 Takuji Arai

This paper models stochastic process of price time series of CSI 300 index in Chinese financial market, analyzes volatility characteristics of intraday high-frequency price data. In the new generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-19 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Indranil SenGupta , Yan Zhou , Hui Jiang