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Infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality around the world; thus, forecasting their impact is crucial for planning an effective response strategy. According to the Centers for Disease Control and…

This paper presents a predictive model for Influenza-Like-Illness, based on Twitter traffic. We gather data from Twitter based on a set of keywords used in the Influenza wikipedia page, and perform feature selection over all words used in 3…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Katerina Katsani-Geronymaki , Polyvios Pratikakis

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos

We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Influenza is an acute respiratory illness that occurs virtually every year and results in substantial disease, death and expense. Detection of Influenza in its earliest stage would facilitate timely action that could reduce the spread of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-11-20 Jiwei Li , Claire Cardie

Influenza is an acute respiratory infection caused by a virus. It is highly contagious and rapidly mutative. However, its epidemiological characteristics are conventionally collected in terms of outpatient records. In fact, the subjective…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-05-07 Siqing Shan , Yingwei Jia , Jichang Zhao

Influenza is an infectious disease with the potential to become a pandemic, and hence, forecasting its prevalence is an important undertaking for planning an effective response. Research has found that web search activity can be used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-27 Michael Morris , Peter Hayes , Ingemar J. Cox , Vasileios Lampos

Infectious disease is a leading threat to public health, economic stability, and other key social structures. Efforts to mitigate these impacts depend on accurate and timely monitoring to measure the risk and progress of disease.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-04-03 Nicholas Generous , Geoffrey Fairchild , Alina Deshpande , Sara Y. Del Valle , Reid Priedhorsky

We analyze over 500 million Twitter messages from an eight month period and find that tracking a small number of flu-related keywords allows us to forecast future influenza rates with high accuracy, obtaining a 95% correlation with national…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2010-07-28 Aron Culotta

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Conventional surveillance systems for monitoring infectious diseases, such as influenza, face challenges due to shortage of skilled healthcare professionals, remoteness of communities and absence of communication infrastructures.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-28 Oguzhan Gencoglu , Miikka Ermes

Systems that exploit publicly available user generated content such as Twitter messages have been successful in tracking seasonal influenza. We developed a novel filtering method for Influenza-Like-Illnesses (ILI)-related messages using 587…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Son Doan , Lucila Ohno-Machado , Nigel Collier

Social media has been considered as a data source for tracking disease. However, most analyses are based on models that prioritize strong correlation with population-level disease rates over determining whether or not specific individual…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-04-14 Todd Bodnar , Victoria C Barclay , Nilam Ram , Conrad S Tucker , Marcel Salathé

This article describes a new method for estimating weekly incidence (new onset) of symptoms consistent with Influenza and COVID-19, using data from the Flutracking survey. The method mitigates some of the known self-selection and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-01 Emily P. Harvey , Joel A. Trent , Frank Mackenzie , Steven M. Turnbull , Dion R. J. O'Neale

Influenza-like illness (ILI) estimation from web search data is an important web analytics task. The basic idea is to use the frequencies of queries in web search logs that are correlated with past ILI activity as features when estimating…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-02-21 Niels Dalum Hansen , Kåre Mølbak , Ingemar J. Cox , Christina Lioma

Traditional disease surveillance systems suffer from several disadvantages, including reporting lags and antiquated technology, that have caused a movement towards internet-based disease surveillance systems. Internet systems are…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2015-08-26 Geoffrey Fairchild , Lalindra De Silva , Sara Y. Del Valle , Alberto M. Segre
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