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Mapping deprivation in urban areas is important, for example for identifying areas of greatest need and planning interventions. Traditional ways of obtaining deprivation estimates are based on either census or household survey data, which…

A common problem faced in statistical inference is drawing conclusions from paired comparisons, in which two objects compete and one is declared the victor. A probabilistic approach to such a problem is the Bradley-Terry model, first…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-12-19 Gabriel C. Phelan , John T. Whelan

Recent advances in deep learning have enabled the inference of urban socioeconomic characteristics from satellite imagery. However, models relying solely on urbanization traits often show weak correlations with poverty indicators, as…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-09-08 Sungwon Park , Sumin Lee , Jihee Kim , Jae-Gil Lee , Meeyoung Cha , Jeasurk Yang , Donghyun Ahn

Comparative judgement studies elicit quality assessments through pairwise comparisons, typically analysed using the Bradley-Terry model. A challenge in these studies is experimental design, specifically, determining the optimal pairs to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Jiahua Jiang , Joseph Marsh , Rowland G Seymour

Pairwise comparison data are widely used to infer latent rankings in areas such as sports, social choice, and machine learning. The Bradley-Terry model provides a foundational probabilistic framework but inherently assumes transitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Hisaya Okahara , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The Bradley-Terry model is a popular approach to describe probabilities of the possible outcomes when elements of a set are repeatedly compared with one another in pairs. It has found many applications including animal behaviour, chess…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Francois Caron , Arnaud Doucet

This research proposes a model to predict the location of the most deprived areas in a city using data from the census. Census data is very high-dimensional and needs to be simplified. We use the diffusion map algorithm to reduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 June Moh Goo

We consider the problem of aggregating pairwise comparisons to obtain a consensus ranking order over a collection of objects. We use the popular Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model which allows us to probabilistically describe pairwise…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-01-30 Mine Alsan , Ranjitha Prasad , Vincent Y. F. Tan

The rating of items based on pairwise comparisons has been a topic of statistical investigation for many decades. Numerous approaches have been proposed. One of the best known is the Bradley-Terry model. This paper seeks to assemble and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn , David Firth

Several methods of preference modeling, ranking, voting and multi-criteria decision making include pairwise comparisons. It is usually simpler to compare two objects at a time, furthermore, some relations (e.g., the outcome of sports…

We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Varun Kshirsagar , Jerzy Wieczorek , Sharada Ramanathan , Rachel Wells

We study the ranking of individuals, teams, or objects, based on pairwise comparisons between them, using the Bradley-Terry model. Estimates of rankings within this model are commonly made using a simple iterative algorithm first introduced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-16 M. E. J. Newman

Poverty mapping that displays spatial distribution of various poverty indices is most useful to policymakers and researchers when they are disaggregated into small geographic units, such as cities, municipalities or other administrative…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-12-18 Partha Lahiri , Jiraphan Suntornchost

Thurstonian and Bradley-Terry models are the most commonly applied models in the analysis of paired comparison data. Since their introduction, numerous developments have been proposed in different areas. This paper provides an updated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-04 Manuela Cattelan

Decision-makers often observe the occurrence of events through a reporting process. City governments, for example, rely on resident reports to find and then resolve urban infrastructural problems such as fallen street trees, flooded…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Gabriel Agostini , Emma Pierson , Nikhil Garg

How to allocate limited resources to projects that will yield the greatest long-term benefits is a problem that often arises in decision-making under uncertainty. For example, organizations may need to evaluate and select innovation…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-05-12 Yurun Ge , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou , Maria R. D'Orsogna

Access to motorable roads is a critical dimension of urban infrastructure, particularly in rapidly urbanizing regions such as Sub-Saharan Africa. Yet, many urban communities, especially those in informal settlements, remain disconnected…

The aim of this paper is to explore and develop advanced spatial Bayesian assessment methods and techniques for land use modeling. The paper provides a comprehensive guide for assessing additional informational entropy value of model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-06-17 Kostas Alexandridis , Bryan C. Pijanowski

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Over the last few years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes, with particular emphasis placed on this area by the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli
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