相关论文: Nonparametric robust monitoring of time series pan…

Solar activity is an important driver of long-term climate trends and must be accounted for in climate models. Unfortunately, direct measurements of this quantity over long periods do not exist. The only observation related to solar…

This paper considers the problem of comparing two processes with panel data. A nonparametric test is proposed for detecting a monotone change in the link between the two process distributions. The test statistic is of CUSUM type, based on…

Control charts for process monitoring are widely used in practice. Most control charts require the monitored (residuals) process to be serially independent (and to satisfy specified distributional assumptions), whereas undetected dependence…

Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate or relatively large number of panels, while the panels contain a small number of observations. This paper establishes testing procedures to detect a possible common change in means of the…

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

In this paper we consider nonparametric estimation for dependent data, where the observations do not necessarily come from a linear process. We study density estimation and also discuss associated problems in nonparametric regression using…

To maintain the desired quality of a product or service it is necessary to monitor the process that results in the product or service. This monitoring method is called Statistical Process Management, or Statistical Process Control. It is in…

Organizations rely heavily on time series metrics to measure and model key aspects of operational and business performance. The ability to reliably detect issues with these metrics is imperative to identifying early indicators of major…

The traditional variable control charts, such as the X-bar chart, are widely used to monitor variation in a process. They have been shown to perform well for monitoring processes under the general assumptions that the observations are…

A wide range of approaches for batch processes monitoring can be found in the literature. This kind of process generates a very peculiar data structure, in which successive measurements of many process variables in each batch run are…

The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activity, the…

Contagion arising from clustering of multiple time series like those in the stock market indicators can further complicate the nature of volatility, rendering a parametric test (relying on asymptotic distribution) to suffer from issues on…

There is an emerging trend in applying deep learning methods to control complex nonlinear systems. This paper considers enhancing the runtime safety of nonlinear systems controlled by neural networks in the presence of disturbance and…

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

In panel data we observe a usually high number N of individuals over a time period T. Even if T is large one often assumes stability of the model over time. We propose a nonparametric and robust test for a change in location and derive its…

As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

We propose a new unsupervised and non-parametric method to detect change points in intricate quasi-periodic signals. The detection relies on optimal transport theory combined with topological analysis and the bootstrap procedure. The…

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

There has been significant growth in both utility-scale and residential-scale solar installations in recent years, driven by rapid technology improvements and falling prices. Unlike utility-scale solar farms that are professionally managed…