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This paper introduces sparse dynamic chain graph models for network inference in high dimensional non-Gaussian time series data. The proposed method parametrized by a precision matrix that encodes the intra time-slice conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Pariya Behrouzi , Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst C. Wit

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful and flexible tool for non-parametric regression and classification. Computation for GP models is intensive, since computing the posterior density, $\pi$, for covariance function parameters…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-13 Chunyi Wang , Radford M. Neal

A key challenge with controlling complex dynamical systems is to accurately model them. However, this requirement is very hard to satisfy in practice. Data-driven approaches such as Gaussian processes (GPs) have proved quite effective by…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-03-08 Mouhyemen Khan , Akash Patel , Abhijit Chatterjee

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

Modelling the behaviour of highly nonlinear dynamical systems with robust uncertainty quantification is a challenging task which typically requires approaches specifically designed to address the problem at hand. We introduce a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a robust paradigm for Bayesian deep learning. In DGPs, a set of sparse integration locations called inducing points are selected to approximate the posterior distribution of the model. This is done to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-25 Jian Xu , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Sparse identification of differential equations aims to compute the analytic expressions from the observed data explicitly. However, there exist two primary challenges. Firstly, it exhibits sensitivity to the noise in the observed data,…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-23 Yuhuang Meng , Yue Qiu

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

In this work, we present a novel approach to system identification for dynamical systems, based on a specific class of Deep Gaussian Processes (Deep GPs). These models are constructed by interconnecting linear dynamic GPs (equivalent to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Piga , Marco Forgione , Marco Zaffalon

Data in many applications follows systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). This paper presents a novel algorithmic and symbolic construction for covariance functions of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with realizations strictly following…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-29 Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig

This work is concerned with uncertainty quantification in reduced-order dynamical system identification. Reduced-order models for system dynamics are ubiquitous in design and control applications and recent efforts focus on their…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-10 Prem Ratan Mohan Ram , Ulrich Römer , Richard Semaan

We propose a method for inferring the conditional indepen- dence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional discrete-time Gaus- sian vector random process from finite-length observations. Our approach does not rely on a parametric model (such as,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-03-11 Alexander Jung , Reinhard Heckel , Helmut Bölcskei , Franz Hlawatsch

Extracting environmental forces from noisy data is a common yet challenging task in complex physical systems. Machine learning represents a robust approach to this problem, yet is mostly tested on simulated data with known parameters. Here…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Wentao Yu , Jonathan Cho , Justin C. Burton

Multiscale modeling is a systematic approach to describe the behavior of complex systems by coupling models from different scales. The approach has been demonstrated to be very effective in areas of science as diverse as materials science,…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Ting Wang , Kenneth W. Leiter , Petr Plechac , Jaroslaw Knap

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) leverage the flexibility and interpretability of GPs while capturing structure across outputs, which is desirable, for example, in spatio-temporal modelling. The key problem with MOGPs is their…

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

The identification of governing equations for dynamical systems is everlasting challenges for the fundamental research in science and engineering. Machine learning has exhibited great success to learn and predict dynamical systems from…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-09-27 Zhongshun Shi , Hang Ma , Hoang Tran , Guannan Zhang