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This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

We introduce a physics-informed Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) with flow approximated posteriors using multiplicative normalizing flows (MNF) for detailed uncertainty quantification (UQ) at the physics event-level. Our method is capable of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Cristiano Fanelli , James Giroux

Industrial dynamical systems often exhibit multi-scale response due to material heterogeneities, operation conditions and complex environmental loadings. In such problems, it is the case that the smallest length-scale of the systems…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-18 Waad Subber , Sayan Ghosh , Piyush Pandita , Yiming Zhang , Liping Wang

We present BLINQ, a new model-based algorithm that learns the Whittle indices of an indexable, communicating and unichain Markov Decision Process (MDP). Our approach relies on building an empirical estimate of the MDP and then computing its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Joël Charles-Rebuffé , Nicolas Gast , Bruno Gaujal

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine learning (ML) regression tasks is becoming the focus of many studies in materials and chemical science. It is now well understood that average calibration is insufficient, and most studies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Pascal Pernot

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques are frequently used to ascertain output variability in systems with parametric uncertainty. Traditional algorithms for UQ are either system-agnostic and slow (such as Monte Carlo) or fast with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tuhin Sahai , Jose Miguel Pasini

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi

Robust control design for quantum systems has been recognized as a key task in the development of practical quantum technology. In this paper, we present a systematic numerical methodology of sampling-based learning control (SLC) for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-03-29 Daoyi Dong , Mohamed A. Mabrok , Ian R. Petersen , Bo Qi , Chunlin Chen , Herschel Rabitz

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Apostolos F Psaros , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

We consider the infinite dimensional linear programming (inf-LP) approach for solving stochastic control problems. The inf-LP corresponding to problems with uncountable state and input spaces is in general computationally intractable. By…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-16 Maryam Kamgarpour , Tyler Summers

Robustness studies of black-box models is recognized as a necessary task for numerical models based on structural equations and predictive models learned from data. These studies must assess the model's robustness to possible…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-09-26 Marouane Il Idrissi , Nicolas Bousquet , Fabrice Gamboa , Bertrand Iooss , Jean-Michel Loubes

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) enable accurate atomistic modelling, but reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) remains elusive. In this study, we investigate two UQ strategies, ensemble learning and D-optimality, within…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-08-06 Fei Shuang , Zixiong Wei , Kai Liu , Wei Gao , Poulumi Dey

Determining process-structure-property linkages is one of the key objectives in material science, and uncertainty quantification plays a critical role in understanding both process-structure and structure-property linkages. In this work, we…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-01-27 Anh Tran , Tim Wildey

The principal task to control dynamical systems is to ensure their stability. When the system is unknown, robust approaches are promising since they aim to stabilize a large set of plausible systems simultaneously. We study linear…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-24 Lenart Treven , Sebastian Curi , Mojmir Mutny , Andreas Krause

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), or Bayesian calibration, is the process to quantify the uncertainties of random input parameters based on experimental data. The introduction of model discrepancy term is significant because…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-24 Xu Wu , Koroush Shirvan , Tomasz Kozlowski

Dynamical systems across the sciences, from electrical circuits to ecological networks, undergo qualitative and often catastrophic changes in behavior, called bifurcations, when their underlying parameters cross a threshold. Existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-22 Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Mor Nitzan

A central challenge in scientific machine learning (ML) is the correct representation of physical systems governed by multi-regime behaviours. In these scenarios, standard data analysis techniques often fail to capture the nature of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Michele Cazzola , Alberto Ghione , Lucia Sargentini , Julien Nespoulous , Riccardo Finotello

The goal of this paper is to develop data-driven control design and evaluation strategies based on linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) and dynamic programming. We consider deterministic discrete-time LTI systems, where the system model is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-17 Donghwan Lee , Do Wan Kim

Uncertainty quantification for inverse problems in imaging has drawn much attention lately. Existing approaches towards this task define uncertainty regions based on probable values per pixel, while ignoring spatial correlations within the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Omer Belhasin , Yaniv Romano , Daniel Freedman , Ehud Rivlin , Michael Elad