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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We present a novel method for reliably explaining the predictions of neural networks. We consider an explanation reliable if it identifies input features relevant to the model output by considering the input and the neighboring data points.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Dohun Lim , Hyeonseok Lee , Sungchan Kim

In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-29 Forzani Liliana , Fraiman Ricardo , Llop Pamela

A variance reduction technique in nonparametric smoothing is proposed: at each point of estimation, form a linear combination of a preliminary estimator evaluated at nearby points with the coefficients specified so that the asymptotic bias…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Ming-Yen Cheng , Liang Peng , Jyh-Shyang Wu

We present a static analysis for discovering differentiable or more generally smooth parts of a given probabilistic program, and show how the analysis can be used to improve the pathwise gradient estimator, one of the most popular methods…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Wonyeol Lee , Xavier Rival , Hongseok Yang

Nonparametric estimators for the mean and the covariance functions of functional data are proposed. The setup covers a wide range of practical situations. The random trajectories are, not necessarily differentiable, have unknown regularity,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-13 Steven Golovkine , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Valentin Patilea

Estimating normals for noisy point clouds is a persistent challenge in 3D geometry processing, particularly for end-to-end oriented normal estimation. Existing methods generally address relatively clean data and rely on supervised priors to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Qing Li , Huifang Feng , Xun Gong , Yu-Shen Liu

In this paper, we present a stochastic gradient algorithm for minimizing a smooth objective function that is an expectation over noisy cost samples, and only the latter are observed for any given parameter. Our algorithm employs a gradient…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-03 Akash Mondal , Prashanth L. A. , Shalabh Bhatnagar

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested for minimizing locally Lipschitz objective functions that may be nonconvex and/or nonsmooth. The algorithm, which is built upon the gradient-sampling methodology, is designed specifically for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-02 Albert S. Berahas , Frank E. Curtis , Lara Zebiane

Stochastic gradient methods are dominant in nonconvex optimization especially for deep models but have low asymptotical convergence due to the fixed smoothness. To address this problem, we propose a simple yet effective method for improving…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-25 Jun Li , Hongfu Liu , Bineng Zhong , Yue Wu , Yun Fu

While it is common practice in applied network analysis to report various standard network summary statistics, these numbers are rarely accompanied by uncertainty quantification. Yet any error inherent in the measurements underlying the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-06 Jinyuan Chang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Qiwei Yao

We consider the problem of learning a graph from a finite set of noisy graph signal observations, the goal of which is to find a smooth representation of the graph signal. Such a problem is motivated by the desire to infer relational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Xiaolu Wang , Yuen-Man Pun , Anthony Man-Cho So

This paper introduces an intuitive and easy-to-implement nonparametric density estimator based on local polynomial techniques. The estimator is fully boundary adaptive and automatic, but does not require pre-binning or any other…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We discuss a number of estimates of the hazard under the assumption that the hazard is monotone on an interval [0,a]. The usual isotonic least squares estimators of the hazard are inconsistent at the boundary points 0 and a. We use…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-22 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

We introduce a new framework for analyzing (Quasi-}Newton type methods applied to non-smooth optimization problems. The source of randomness comes from the evaluation of the (approximation) of the Hessian. We derive, using a variant of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-05 Titus Pinta

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied
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