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COVID-19 will be a continuous threat to human population despite having a few vaccines at hand until we reach the endemic state through natural herd immunity and total immunization through universal vaccination. However, the vaccine acts as…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-08-26 V. R. Saiprasad , R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

COVID-19 pandemic has been raging all around the world for almost a year now, as of November 1, 2020. In this paper, we try to analyze the variation of the COVID-19 pandemic in different countries in the light of some modifications to the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-28 Sourav Chowdhury , Suparna Roychowdhury , Indranath Chaudhuri

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

COVID-19--a viral infectious disease--has quickly emerged as a global pandemic infecting millions of people with a significant number of deaths across the globe. The symptoms of this disease vary widely. Depending on the symptoms an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-23 Madhab Barman , Snigdhashree Nayak , Manoj K. Yadav , Soumyendu Raha , Nachiketa Mishra

COVID-19 pandemic has become a major threat to the country. Till date, well tested medication or antidote is not available to cure this disease. According to WHO reports, COVID-19 is a severe acute respiratory syndrome which is transmitted…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-03 Gaurav Pandey , Poonam Chaudhary , Rajan Gupta , Saibal Pal

The estimate of the remaining time of an ongoing wave of epidemic spreading is a critical issue. Due to the variations of a wide range of parameters in an epidemic, for simple models such as Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, it is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-10-12 Anvesh Reddy , Hanesh Koganti , Sai Krishna , Suhas Reddy , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Coronavirus outbreak is one of the most challenging pandemics for the entire human population of the planet Earth. Techniques such as the isolation of infected persons and maintaining social distancing are the only preventive measures…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Rahul Mishra , Hari Prabhat Gupta , Tanima Dutta

The prediction of spread patterns of COVID19 virus in India is very difficult due to its versatile demographic as well as meteorological data distribution. Various researchers across the globe have attempted to correlate the interdependency…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-27 Raj Kishore , Bijaylaxmi Sahoo , Debadatta Swain , Kisor Kumar Sahu

India was under a grave threat from the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic particularly in the beginning of May 2021. The situation appeared rather gloomy as the number of infected individuals/active cases had increased alarmingly during…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-02-02 R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

The global pandemic due to the outbreak of COVID-19 ravages the whole world for more than two years in which all the countries are suffering a lot since December 2019. In order to control this ongoing waves of epidemiological infections,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-11 Kalpita Ghosh , Asim Kumar Ghosh

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic radically impacts our lives, while the transmission/infection and recovery dynamics of COVID-19 remain obscure. A time-dependent Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered (SEIR) model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-01 Yong Zhang , Xiangnan Yu , HongGuang Sun , Geoffrey R. Tick , Wei Wei , Bin Jin

The last leg of the year 2019 gave rise to a virus named COVID-19 (Corona Virus Disease 2019). Since the beginning of this infection in India, the government implemented several policies and restrictions to curtail its spread among the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-15 Punam Bedi , Shivani , Pushkar Gole , Neha Gupta , Vinita Jindal

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic dilated rapidly throughout India. To end the global COVID-19 pandemic major behavioral, social distancing, contact tracing, and state interventions has been undertaken to reduce the outbreak and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-15 Kankan Sarkar , Subhas Khajanchi

In this paper, we propose a machine learning technics and SIR models (deterministic and stochastic cases) with numerical approximations to predict the number of cases infected with the COVID-19, for both in few days and the following three…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-29 Babacar Mbaye Ndiaye , Lena Tendeng , Diaraf Seck

We propose an epidemiological model using an adaptive dynamic three compartment (with four states) SIR(D) model. Our approach is similar to non-parametric curve fitting in spirit and automatically adapts to key external factors, such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-14 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Arup Bose

Non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs) play an important role in the early stage control of COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination is considered to be the inevitable course to stop the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Based on the mechanism, a SVEIR COVID-19…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-07-08 Bin-Guo Wang , Shunxiang Huang , Yongping Xiong , Ming-Zhen Xin , Jing LI , Jiangqian Zhang , Zhihui Ma

Population-wide vaccination is critical for containing the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) pandemic when combined with restrictive and prevention measures. In this study, we introduce SAIVR, a mathematical model able to forecast the Covid-19 epidemic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-19 Mattia Angeli , Georgios Neofotistos , Marios Mattheakis , Efthimios Kaxiras

The Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model is one of the standard models of disease spreading. Here we analyse an extended SEIR model that accounts for asymptomatic carriers, believed to play an important role…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-26 Arghya Das , Abhishek Dhar , Srashti Goyal , Anupam Kundu , Saurav Pandey

The infections and fatalities due to SARS-CoV-2 virus for cases specific to India have been studied using a deterministic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD) compartmental model. One of the most significant epidemiological…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-09 Vishwajeet Jha

In this study, we have formulated and analyzed a non-linear compartmental model (SEIR) for the dynamics of COVID-19 with reference to immigration from urban to rural population in Indian scenario. We have captured the effect of the…

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