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Quantitative models are an important decision-making factor for policy makers and investors. Predicting an economic recession with high accuracy and reliability would be very beneficial for the society. This paper assesses machine learning…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-01 Kian Tehranian

Crude oil is a major component in most advanced economies of the world. Accurately predicting and understanding the behavior of crude oil prices is important for economists, analysts, forecasters, and traders, to name a few. The price of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-26 Ganapathy S. Natarajan , Aishwarya Ashok

This paper reports empirical evidence that a neural networks model is applicable to the statistically reliable prediction of foreign exchange rates. Time series data and technical indicators such as moving average, are fed to neural nets to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2016-08-31 V. V. Kondratenko , Yu. A Kuperin

Forecasting time series data is a critical area of research with applications spanning from stock prices to early epidemic prediction. While numerous statistical and machine learning methods have been proposed, real-life prediction problems…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Madhurima Panja , Tanujit Chakraborty , Uttam Kumar , Abdenour Hadid

In this paper, five different deep learning models are being compared for predicting travel time. These models are autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, recurrent neural network (RNN) model, autoregressive (AR) model,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Armstrong Aboah , Elizabeth Arthur

During the image acquisition process, noise is usually added to the data mainly due to physical limitations of the acquisition sensor, and also regarding imprecisions during the data transmission and manipulation. In that sense, the…

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

Time series forecasting requires capturing patterns across multiple temporal scales while maintaining computational efficiency. This paper introduces AWGformer, a novel architecture that integrates adaptive wavelet decomposition with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Wei Li

The ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model) has extensive applications in the field of time series forecasting. However, the predictive performance of the ARIMA model is limited when dealing with data gaps or significant…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Xitai Yu

Stock trading has always been a key economic indicator in modern society and a primary source of profit for financial giants such as investment banks, quantitative trading firms, and hedge funds. Discovering the underlying patterns within…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Fang Liu , Shaobo Guo , Qianwen Xing , Xinye Sha , Ying Chen , Yuhui Jin , Qi Zheng , Chang Yu

This paper presents a novel hybrid model that integrates long-short-term memory (LSTM) networks and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to significantly enhance the accuracy of stock market predictions. The LSTM component adeptly captures temporal…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-25 Meet Satishbhai Sonani , Atta Badii , Armin Moin

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to multivariate forecasting cryptocurrency prices using a hybrid contextual model combining exponential smoothing (ES) and recurrent neural network (RNN). The model consists of two tracks: the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

In todays global economy, accuracy in predicting macro-economic parameters such as the foreign the exchange rate or at least estimating the trend correctly is of key importance for any future investment. In recent times, the use of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-25 Manav Kaushik , A K Giri

Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-02-24 B. W. Wanjawa , L. Muchemi

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) are a type of statistical model designed to handle sequential data. The model reads a sequence one symbol at a time. Each symbol is processed based on information collected from the previous symbols. With…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-18 Jared Ostmeyer , Lindsay Cowell

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

The article is concerned with the problem of multi-step financial time series forecasting of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates. To address this problem, we introduce a regression network termed RegPred Net. The exchange rate to forecast is…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-12 Linwei Li , Paul-Amaury Matt , Christian Heumann

Single image deraining is a crucial problem because rain severely degenerates the visibility of images and affects the performance of computer vision tasks like outdoor surveillance systems and intelligent vehicles. In this paper, we…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-11 Hao-Hsiang Yang , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Yu-Chiang Frank Wang