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In this paper we apply a new approach of the string theory to the real financial market. It is direct extension and application of the work [1] into prediction of prices. The models are constructed with an idea of prediction models based on…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2014-03-05 Richard Pincak , Marian Repasan

The growth of machine-readable data in finance, such as alternative data, requires new modeling techniques that can handle non-stationary and non-parametric data. Due to the underlying causal dependence and the size and complexity of the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-04 Nicole Koenigstein

The method of element analysis is proposed here as an alternative to traditional wavelet-based approaches to analyzing perturbations in financial signals by scale. In this method, the processes that generate oscillations in financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-01 Nathan Zavanelli

The net value of the fund is affected by performance and market, and the researchers try to quantify these effects to predict the future net value by establishing different models. The current prediction models usually can only reflect the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-01 Peng Zhou , Fangyi Li

We consider the problem of maximizing weighted sum rate in a multiple-input single-output (MISO) downlink wireless network with emphasis on user rate reliability. We introduce a novel risk-aggregated formulation of the complex WSR…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-01 Hassaan Hashmi , Spyridon Pougkakiotis , Dionysis Kalogerias

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-02-09 Bogdan Oancea , ŞTefan Cristian Ciucu

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Volatility dynamics of wavelet - filtered stock price time series is studied. Using the universal thresholding method of wavelet filtering and a principle of minimal linear autocorrelation of noise component we find that the quantitative…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 I. M. Dremin , A. V. Leonidov

As a branch of time series forecasting, stock movement forecasting is one of the challenging problems for investors and researchers. Since Transformer was introduced to analyze financial data, many researchers have dedicated themselves to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-12 Chufeng Li , Jianyong Chen

In this work we considered several hybrid modelling approaches for forecasting energy spot prices in EPEC market. Hybridization is performed through combining a Naive model, Fourier analysis, ARMA and GARCH models, a mean-reversion and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-19 Tahir Miriyev , Alessandro Contu , Kevin Schafers , Ion Gabriel Ion

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

The study of Day-Ahead prices in the electricity market is one of the most popular problems in time series forecasting. Previous research has focused on employing increasingly complex learning algorithms to capture the sophisticated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-29 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén , Jesús Juan

Trend and Value are pervasive anomalies, common to all financial markets. We address the problem of their co-existence and interaction within the framework of Heterogeneous Agent Based Models (HABM). More specifically, we extend the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-01 Adam Majewski , Stefano Ciliberti , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

This paper proposes a simple yet effective convolutional module for long-term time series forecasting. The proposed block, inspired by the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, consists of two convolutional components:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Myung Jin Kim , YeongHyeon Park , Il Dong Yun

The prediction of foreign exchange rates, such as the US Dollar (USD) to Bangladeshi Taka (BDT), plays a pivotal role in global financial markets, influencing trade, investments, and economic stability. This study leverages historical…

We propose a Neural Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with Adaptive Granularity Attention (AGA) for high-frequency order flow modeling. The model addresses the challenge of capturing multi-scale temporal dynamics in financial markets, where…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-24 Tianzuo Hu