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This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

Recently, combining stock features with inter-stock correlations has become a common and effective approach for stock movement prediction. However, financial data presents significant challenges due to its low signal-to-noise ratio and the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Yuante Li , Dawei Cheng , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Jigang Bao , Shu-Tao Xia

We propose in this paper an original technique to predict global radiation using a hybrid ARMA/ANN model and data issued from a numerical weather prediction model (ALADIN). We particularly look at the Multi-Layer Perceptron. After…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2012-01-10 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

Accurate forecasting of exchange rates remains a persistent challenge, particularly for emerging economies such as Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC). These series exhibit long memory and nonlinearity that conventional time series…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Donia Besher , Madhurima Panja , Shovon Sengupta

In this paper we introduce a method for significantly improving the signal to noise ratio in financial data. The approach relies on combining a target variable with different context variables and use auto-encoders (AEs) to learn…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-13 Matthias J. Feiler

Stock market prediction presents considerable challenges for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers operating in complex market environments characterized by noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

High-frequency stock price prediction is challenging due to non-stationarity, noise, and volatility. To tackle these issues, we propose the Hybrid Attentive Ensemble Learning Transformer (HAELT), a deep learning framework combining a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Thanh Dan Bui

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

We introduce wavelet-based methodology for estimation of realized variance allowing its measurement in the time-frequency domain. Using smooth wavelets and Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, we allow for the decomposition of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-20 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Application of machine learning for stock prediction is attracting a lot of attention in recent years. A large amount of research has been conducted in this area and multiple existing results have shown that machine learning methods could…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-14 Yuxuan Huang , Luiz Fernando Capretz , Danny Ho

Consistent alpha generation, i.e., maintaining an edge over the market, underpins the ability of asset traders to reliably generate profits. Technical indicators and trading strategies are commonly used tools to determine when to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Yapeng Jasper Hu , Ralph van Gurp , Ashay Somai , Hugo Kooijman , Jan S. Rellermeyer

Market traders often engage in the frequent transaction of volatile assets to optimize their total return. In this study, we introduce a novel investment strategy model, anchored on the 'lazy factor.' Our approach bifurcates into a Price…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-06-14 Shuo Han , Yinan Chen , Jiacheng Liu

Accurately forecasting carbon prices is essential for informed energy market decision-making, guiding sustainable energy planning, and supporting effective decarbonization strategies. However, it remains challenging due to structural breaks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Runsheng Ren , Jing Li , Yanxiu Li , Shixun Huang , Jun Shen , Wanqing Li , John Le , Sheng Wang

Any discussion on exchange rate movements and forecasting should include explanatory variables from both the current account and the capital account of the balance of payments. In this paper, we include such factors to forecast the value of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-07-08 Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Indranil Ghosh

Stock market forecasting is a lucrative field of interest with promising profits but not without its difficulties and for some people could be even causes of failure. Financial markets by their nature are complex, non-linear and chaotic,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

This paper analyses how Time Series Analysis techniques can be applied to capture movement of an exchange traded index in a stock market. Specifically, Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) class of models is applied…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-28 Amit Tewari