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In this paper we investigate the parametric inference for the linear fractional stable motion in high and low frequency setting. The symmetric linear fractional stable motion is a three-parameter family, which constitutes a natural…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-20 Stepan Mazur , Dmitry Otryakhin , Mark Podolskij

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

We prove a Poisson limit theorem in the total variation distance of functionals of a general Poisson point process using the Malliavin-Stein method. Our estimates only involve first and second order difference operators and are closely…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-28 Jens Grygierek

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

In this work we investigate the long-time behavior, that is the existence and characterization of invariant measures as well as convergence of transition probabilities, for Markov processes obtained as the unique mild solution to stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-17 Balint Fárkas , Martin Friesen , Barbara Rüdiger , Dennis Schroers

This paper explores the rates of convergence of solutions for multivariate stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by L\'evy processes within the small-time stable domain of attraction (DoA). Explicit bounds are derived for the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-17 Jorge González Cázares , David Kramer-Bang

Central limit theorems and asymptotic properties of the minimum-contrast estimators of the drift parameter in linear stochastic evolution equations driven by fractional Brownian motion are studied. Both singular ($H < \frac{1}{2})$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-13 Pavel Kriz , Bohdan Maslowski

In this paper, we describe two effects of the L\'evy area correction on the invariant measure of stochastic rigid body dynamics on geometric rough paths. From the viewpoint of dynamics, the L\'evy area correction introduces an additional…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Theo Diamantakis , Darryl D. Holm , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Trawl processes belong to the class of continuous-time, strictly stationary, infinitely divisible processes; they are defined as Levy bases evaluated over deterministic trawl sets. This article presents the first nonparametric estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-17 Orimar Sauri , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper we give a solution to the quickest drift change detection problem for a multivariate L\'evy process consisting of both continuous (Gaussian) and jump components in the Bayesian approach. We do it for a general 0-modified…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-22 Michał Krawiec , Zbigniew Palmowski

The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-30 Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Cambyse Pakzad

We study an optimal transportation approach for recovering parameters in dynamical systems with a single smoothly varying attractor. We assume that the data is not sufficient for estimating time derivatives of state variables but enough to…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-04-12 Yunan Yang , Levon Nurbekyan , Elisa Negrini , Robert Martin , Mirjeta Pasha

In this paper, we derive comparison results for terminal values of $d$-dimensional special semimartingales and also for finite-dimensional distributions of multivariate L\'{e}vy processes. The comparison is with respect to nondecreasing,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Jan Bergenthum , Ludger Rüschendorf

Estimating the parameters of max-stable parametric models poses significant challenges, particularly when some parameters lie on the boundary of the parameter space. This situation arises when a subset of variables exhibits extreme values…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-08 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

By using absolutely continuous lower bounds of the L\'evy measure, explicit gradient estimates are derived for the semigroup of the corresponding L\'evy process with a linear drift. A derivative formula is presented for the conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-16 Feng-Yu Wang

Given a low frequency sample of an infinitely divisible moving average random field $\{\int_{\mathbb{R}^d} f(x-t)\Lambda(dx); \ t \in \mathbb{R}^d \}$ with a known simple function $f$, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-29 Wolfgang Karcher , Stefan Roth , Evgeny Spodarev , Corinna Walk

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behavior for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic dynamical systems. Firstly, we obtain a central limit type theorem, i.e, the deviation between the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ and the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-02 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Xiaobin Sun

Many living and complex systems exhibit second order emergent dynamics. Limited experimental access to the configurational degrees of freedom results in data that appears to be generated by a non-Markovian process. This poses a challenge in…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-07-29 Federica Ferretti , Victor Chardès , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Irene Giardina

In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-12 Ke Zhao , Ajay Jasra