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During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

The cumulative number of confirmed infected individuals by the new coronavirus outbreak until April 30th, 2020, is presented for the countries: Belgium, Brazil, United Kingdom (UK), and United States of America (USA). After an initial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-03 Eduardo L. Brugnago , Rafael M. da Silva , Cesar Manchein , Marcus W. Beims

During the early part of the Covid-19 pandemic, national and local governments introduced a number of policies to combat the spread of Covid-19. In this paper, we propose a new approach to bound the effects of such early-pandemic policies…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-27 Brantly Callaway , Tong Li

The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemic-economic models designed to address this issue are either too aggregate to…

During the COVID-19 pandemic, several countries have taken the approach of tiered restrictions which has remained a point of debate due to a lack of transparency. Using the dominance-based rough set approach, we identify patterns in the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-11-02 Edward Abel , Sajid Siraj

The changing nature of the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of comprehensively considering its impacts and considering changes over time. Most COVID-19 related research addresses narrowly focused research questions and is…

The principle of democracy is that the people govern through elected representatives. Therefore, a democracy is healthy as long as the elected politicians do represent the people. We have analyzed data from the Brazilian electoral court…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-07 Daniel Gamermann , Felipe Leite Antunes

A recent study leveraging text of pandemic-related policymaking from 1973--2020 explored whether pandemic policymaking has evolved, or whether we are witnessing a new, unique era of policymaking as it relates to large-scale crises like…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-11-16 Philip D. Waggoner

COVID-19 has resulted in a worldwide pandemic, leading to "lockdown" policies and social distancing. The pandemic has profoundly changed the world. Traditional methods for observing these historical events are difficult because sending…

As we reach the apex of the COVID-19 pandemic, the most pressing question facing us is: can we even partially reopen the economy without risking a second wave? We first need to understand if shutting down the economy helped. And if it did,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-12 Anish Agarwal , Abdullah Alomar , Arnab Sarker , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen , Cindy Yang

Purpose: In the context of a COVID pandemic in 2020-21, this paper attempts to capture the interconnectedness and volatility transmission dynamics. The nature of change in volatility spillover effects and time-varying conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-02 Avik Das , Devanjali Nandi Das

Newspapers are trustworthy media where people get the most reliable and credible information compared with other sources. On the other hand, social media often spread rumors and misleading news to get more traffic and attention. Careful…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Fahim Shahriar , Md Abul Bashar

The occurrence of first significant digits of numbers in large data is often governed by a logarithmically decreasing distribution called Benford's law (BL), reported first by S. Newcomb (SN) and many decades later independently by F.…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2016-03-22 Tariq Ahmad Mir

COVID-19 is a global health crisis that has had unprecedented, widespread impact on households across the United States and has been declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO) [1]. According to Centers…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-25 Harshvardhan Uppaluru , Hamid Emadi , Hossein Rastgoftar

Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero

The synthetic control method is an empirical methodology forcausal inference using observational data. By observing thespread of COVID-19 throughout the world, we analyze the dataon the number of deaths and cases in different regions…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Niloofar Bayat , Cody Morrin , Yuheng Wang , Vishal Misra

Alternative data have a big role, especially during a crisis. The months of stalemate have made us realize their importance for policy responses. In Nepal, the Government has exerted stay put measures, and physical data collection…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Ashutosh Mani Dixit , Suraj Regmi

Behavior-disease models suggest that pandemics can be contained cost-effectively if individuals take preventive actions when disease prevalence rises among their close contacts. However, assessing local awareness behavior in real-world…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-04-16 Gergely Ódor , Márton Karsai

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has promoted vigorous scientific activity in an effort to understand, advice and control the pandemic. Data is now freely available at a staggering rate worldwide. Unfortunately, this unprecedented level of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-31 Yuansan Liu , Saransh Srivastava , Zuo Huang , Felisa J. Vázquez-Abad

Benford's law is often used as a support to critical decisions related to data quality or the presence of data manipulations or even fraud. However, many authors argue that conventional statistical tests will reject the null of data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-16 Roy Cerqueti , Claudio Lupi