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Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

Gaussian processes provide a promising framework by which to extrapolate the equation of state (EoS) of cold, catalyzed matter beyond $1-2$ times nuclear saturation density. Here we discuss how to extend Gaussian processes to include…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2023-02-17 Debora Mroczek , M. Coleman Miller , Jacquelyn Noronha-Hostler , Nicolas Yunes

In quantum mechanics, the Rosen-Zener model represents a two-level quantum system. Its generalization to multiple degenerate sets of states leads to larger non-autonomous linear system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We propose a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-08 Christian Bonhomme , Stefano Pozza , Niel Van Buggenhout

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have emerged as an efficient framework for uncertainty quantification and inference on dynamical systems. In this work, we explain the mathematical assumptions and detailed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-25 Nicholas Krämer , Nathanael Bosch , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

Optimal Bayesian feature filtering (OBF) is a supervised screening method designed for biomarker discovery. In this article, we prove two major theoretical properties of OBF. First, optimal Bayesian feature selection under a general family…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Ali Foroughi pour , Lori A. Dalton

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are commonly used to model dynamic behavior of a system. Because many parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from the observed data, there is growing interest in statistics to develop…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-13 Xin Qi , Hongyu Zhao

Linear partial differential equations (PDEs) are an important, widely applied class of mechanistic models, describing physical processes such as heat transfer, electromagnetism, and wave propagation. In practice, specialized numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Marvin Pförtner , Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Hennig , Jonathan Wenger

Accurate estimation of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is crucial for understanding climate change and its impacts on public health, as aerosols are a measure of air quality conditions. AOD is usually retrieved from satellite imagery at coarse…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Paula Moraga

Spatial modelling often uses Gaussian random fields to capture the stochastic nature of studied phenomena. However, this approach incurs significant computational burdens (O(n3)), primarily due to covariance matrix computations. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Joaquin Cavieres , Paula Moraga , Cole C. Monnahan

Physical laws governing population dynamics are generally expressed as differential equations. Research in recent decades has incorporated fractional-order (non-integer) derivatives into differential models of natural phenomena, such as…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-12-08 A. P. Harris , T. A. Biala , A. Q. M. Khaliq

In this paper, we consider objective Bayesian inference of the generalized exponential distribution using the independence Jeffreys prior and validate the propriety of the posterior distribution under a family of structured priors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-26 Aojun Li , Keying Ye , Min Wang

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

In this work, we develop a highly efficient representation of functions and differential operators based on Fourier analysis. Using this representation, we create a variational hybrid quantum algorithm to solve static, Schr\"odinger-type,…

Sparse variational approximations are popular methods for scaling up inference and learning in Gaussian processes to larger datasets. For $N$ training points, exact inference has $O(N^3)$ cost; with $M \ll N$ features, state of the art…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Talay M Cheema , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generating samples from unknown data distributions. Most popular stochastic differential equation-based diffusion models perturb the target distribution by adding Gaussian noise,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Wenpin Tang , Nizar Touzi , Zikun Zhang , Xun Yu Zhou

A transient magneto-quasistatic vector potential formulation involving nonlinear material is spatially discretized using the finite element method of first and second polynomial order. By applying a generalized Schur complement the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-11-09 Bernhard Kähne , Markus Clemens , Sebastian Schöps

Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

This article revisits the approximation problem of systems of nonlinear delay differential equations (DDEs) by a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We work in Hilbert spaces endowed with a natural inner product including a point…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-09-11 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Michael Ghil , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang