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We study the computation of lower and upper probabilities of hitting a target set of states for imprecise Markov chains, where transition uncertainty is modelled by a convex set of transition matrices. In the precise case, hitting…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

Markov processes restarted or reset at random times to a fixed state or region in space have been actively studied recently in connection with random searches, foraging, and population dynamics. Here we study the large deviations of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-01-06 Janusz M. Meylahn , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Hugo Touchette

We develop Markov chain mixing time estimates for a class of Markov chains with restricted transitions. We assume transitions may occur along a cycle of $n$ nodes and on $n^\gamma$ additional edges, where $\gamma < 1$. We find that the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-26 Balázs Gerencsér

Leveraging recent work on data-driven methods for constructing a finite state space Markov process from dynamical systems, we address two problems for obtaining further reduced statistical representations. The first problem is to extract…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2024-05-14 Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Andre N. Souza , Peter J. Schmid

In this paper we study the semi-global (approximate) state feedback stabilization of an infinite dimensional quantum stochastic system towards a target state. A discrete-time Markov chain on an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space is used to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-03-22 Ram Somaraju , Mazyar Mirrahimi , Pierre Rouchon

Learning the influence graph G of a high-dimensional Markov process is central to many application domains, including social networks, neuroscience, and financial risk analysis. However, in many of these applications, future states of the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Sudharsan Senthil , Avhishek Chatterjee

In this work we address the problem of finding feasible policies for Constrained Markov Decision Processes under probability one constraints. We argue that stationary policies are not sufficient for solving this problem, and that a rich…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Agustin Castellano , Hancheng Min , Juan Bazerque , Enrique Mallada

The efficient calculation of rare-event kinetics in complex dynamical systems, such as the rate and pathways of ligand dissociation from a protein, is a generally unsolved problem. Markov state models can systematically integrate ensembles…

化学物理 · 物理学 2016-02-03 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

To make progress in understanding the issue of memory loss and history dependence in evolving complex systems, we consider the mixing rate that specifies how fast the future states become independent of the initial condition. We propose a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Miroslav Kramar , Lenka Kovalcinova , Konstantin Mischaikow , Lou Kondic

Scientific explanation often requires inferring maximally predictive features from a given data set. Unfortunately, the collection of minimal maximally predictive features for most stochastic processes is uncountably infinite. In such…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-05-31 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We study reinforcement learning methods with linear function approximation under non-Markov state and cost processes. We first consider the policy evaluation method and show that the algorithm converges under suitable ergodicity conditions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-05 Ali Devran Kara

We consider a control problem for a finite-state Markov system whose performance is evaluated by a coherent Markov risk measure. For each policy, the risk of a state is approximated by a function of its features, thus leading to a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-05 Andrzej Ruszczynski , Shangzhe Yang

Memoryless processes are ubiquitous in nature, in contrast with the mathematics of open systems theory, which states that non-Markovian processes should be the norm. This discrepancy is usually addressed by subjectively making the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-06-10 Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

We consider reinforcement learning in changing Markov Decision Processes where both the state-transition probabilities and the reward functions may vary over time. For this problem setting, we propose an algorithm using a sliding window…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-28 Pratik Gajane , Ronald Ortner , Peter Auer

Consider the problem of predicting the next symbol given a sample path of length n, whose joint distribution belongs to a distribution class that may have long-term memory. The goal is to compete with the conditional predictor that knows…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-25 Yanjun Han , Tianze Jiang , Yihong Wu

Euclidean Markov decision processes are a powerful tool for modeling control problems under uncertainty over continuous domains. Finite state imprecise, Markov decision processes can be used to approximate the behavior of these infinite…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-06-29 Manfred Jaeger , Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Peter Gjøl Jensen

Matrix product operators allow efficient descriptions (or realizations) of states on a 1D lattice. We consider the task of learning a realization of minimal dimension from copies of an unknown state, such that the resulting operator is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-03-07 Marco Fanizza , Niklas Galke , Josep Lumbreras , Cambyse Rouzé , Andreas Winter

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

Equations governing the nonlinear dynamics of complex systems are usually unknown and indirect methods are used to reconstruct their manifolds. In turn, they depend on embedding parameters requiring other methods and long temporal sequences…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2020-06-24 Valeria d'Andrea , Manlio De Domenico