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This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

The availability of accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasts is pivotal for electricity market participants. In the context of trade liberalisation and market harmonisation in the European markets, accurate price forecasting becomes…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-20 Wei Li , Denis Mike Becker

Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable deep…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Yuhao Nie , Quentin Paletta , Andea Scott , Luis Martin Pomares , Guillaume Arbod , Sgouris Sgouridis , Joan Lasenby , Adam Brandt

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

The $\textit{data market design}$ problem is a problem in economic theory to find a set of signaling schemes (statistical experiments) to maximize expected revenue to the information seller, where each experiment reveals some of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Yanchen Jiang , David C. Parkes

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

We introduce a general, simple, and computationally efficient framework for predicting day-ahead supply and demand merit-order curves, from which both point and probabilistic electricity price forecasts can be derived. We conduct a rigorous…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-12 Guillaume Koechlin , Filippo Bovera , Piercesare Secchi

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

Advancements in sensing and computing technologies, the development of human and computer interaction frameworks, big data storage capabilities, and the emergence of cloud storage and could computing have resulted in an abundance of data in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Ramin Moradi , Katrina M. Groth

As the share of renewable energy sources in the present electric energy mix rises, their intermittence proves to be the biggest challenge to carbon free electricity generation. To address this challenge, we propose an electricity pricing…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-11 Filip Tolovski

Prediction markets show considerable promise for developing flexible mechanisms for machine learning. Here, machine learning markets for multivariate systems are defined, and a utility-based framework is established for their analysis. This…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Amos Storkey

The participation of consumers and producers in demand response programs has increased in smart grids, which reduces investment and operation costs of power systems. Also, with the advent of renewable energy sources, the electricity market…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-29 Nafise Rezaei , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

Energy time-series analysis describes the process of analyzing past energy observations and possibly external factors so as to predict the future. Different tasks are involved in the general field of energy time-series analysis and…

Statistical analysis of network data has attracted considerable attention in recent years, due to the rapid advancement of well-trained network models and the accessibility of large public network datasets. In this article, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Yong He , Kangxiang Qin , Haoran Tang

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Electricity is traded on various markets with different time horizons and regulations. Short-term intraday trading becomes increasingly important due to the higher penetration of renewables. In Germany, the intraday electricity price…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-13 Eike Cramer , Dirk Witthaut , Alexander Mitsos , Manuel Dahmen

The exponential growth of renewable energy capacity has brought much uncertainty to electricity prices and to electricity generation. To address this challenge, the energy exchanges have been developing further trading possibilities,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-24 Michał Narajewski

Accurate electricity price forecasting (EPF) is crucial for effective decision-making in power trading on the spot market. While recent advances in generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) and pre-trained large language models (LLMs) have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Timothée Hornek Amir Sartipi , Igor Tchappi , Gilbert Fridgen

Accurate forecasts of electricity spot prices are essential to the daily operational and planning decisions made by power producers and distributors. Typically, point forecasts of these quantities suffice, particularly in the Nord Pool…

We present a novel recurrent neural network architecture specifically designed for day-ahead electricity price forecasting, aimed at improving short-term decision-making and operational management in energy systems. Our combined forecasting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Souhir Ben Amor , Florian Ziel