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In the context of filtering chaotic dynamical systems it is well-known that partial observations, if sufficiently informative, can be used to control the inherent uncertainty due to chaos. The purpose of this paper is to investigate, both…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-08-30 K. J. H. Law , D. Sanz-Alonso , A. Shukla , A. M. Stuart

Machine learning has become a fundamental approach for modeling, prediction, and control, enabling systems to learn from data and perform complex tasks. Reservoir computing is a machine learning tool that leverages high-dimensional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-12 Sahand Tangerami , Nicholas A. Mecholsky , Francesco Sorrentino

We examine the efficiency of Recurrent Neural Networks in forecasting the spatiotemporal dynamics of high dimensional and reduced order complex systems using Reservoir Computing (RC) and Backpropagation through time (BPTT) for gated network…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-19 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Jaideep Pathak , Brian R. Hunt , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott , Petros Koumoutsakos

The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Reservoir computing (RC) is among the most promising approaches for AI-based prediction models of complex systems. It combines superior prediction performance with very low CPU-needs for training. Recent results demonstrated that quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-02-25 Joel Steinegger , Christoph Räth

In the process of reproducing the state dynamics of parameter dependent distributed systems, data from physical measurements can be incorporated into the mathematical model to reduce the parameter uncertainty and, consequently, improve the…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-06 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Martin Grepl , Karen Veroy

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

This work presents a fast, uncertainty-aware sequential data assimilation framework for estimating key aerodynamic states (e.g., instantaneous vorticity fields and aerodynamic loads) during severe gust encounters, where vortex-gust…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-03-20 Hanieh Mousavi , Anya Jones , Jeff Eldredge

We design and analyse the performance of a multilevel ensemble Kalman filter method (MLEnKF) for filtering settings where the underlying state-space model is an infinite-dimensional spatio-temporal process. We consider underlying models…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-11 Alexey Chernov , Håkon Hoel , Kody J. H. Law , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting observations generated online by an unknown, partially observed linear system, which is driven by stochastic noise. For such systems the optimal predictor in the mean square sense is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-13 Anastasios Tsiamis , George Pappas

In this paper, the Ensemble Kalman Filter is compared with a 4DVAR Data Assimilation System in chaotic dynamics. The Lorenz model is chosen for its simplicity in structure and its dynamical similarities with primitive equation models, such…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-13 Fabrício Pereira Harter , Cleber Souza Corrêa

We demonstrate the utility of machine learning in the separation of superimposed chaotic signals using a technique called Reservoir Computing. We assume no knowledge of the dynamical equations that produce the signals, and require only…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-26 Sanjukta Krishnagopal , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott , Brian Hunt

This paper presents an innovative Reduced-Order Model (ROM) for merging experimental and simulation data using Data Assimilation (DA) to estimate the "True" state of a fluid dynamics system, leading to more accurate predictions. Our…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Paul Jeanney , Ashton Hetherington , Shady E. Ahmed , David Lanceta , Susana Saiz , José Miguel Perez , Soledad Le Clainche

Performing Data Assimilation (DA) at a low cost is of prime concern in Earth system modeling, particularly at the time of big data where huge quantities of observations are available. Capitalizing on the ability of Neural Networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Mathis Peyron , Anthony Fillion , Selime Gürol , Victor Marchais , Serge Gratton , Pierre Boudier , Gael Goret

Over the years data assimilation methods have been developed to obtain estimations of uncertain model parameters by taking into account a few observations of a model state. The most reliable methods of MCMC are computationally expensive.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-14 Sangeetika Ruchi , Svetlana Dubinkina

Many researchers are interested to use Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) for state estimation of complex nonlinear dynamics with uncertainties which modeled with white noises. On the other hand behavior of the chaotic systems in time domain…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-11-20 Mozhgan Mombeini , Hamid Khaloozadeh

Reservoir computing has proven effective for tasks such as time-series prediction, particularly in the context of chaotic systems. However, conventional reservoir computing frameworks often face challenges in achieving high prediction…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-28 Felix Köster , Kazutaka Kanno , Atsushi Uchida

Data assimilation (DA) aims to optimally combine model forecasts and observations that are both partial and noisy. Multi-model DA generalizes the variational or Bayesian formulation of the Kalman filter, and we prove that it is also the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-23 Eviatar Bach , Michael Ghil

This paper introduces a novel state estimation framework for robots using differentiable ensemble Kalman filters (DEnKF). DEnKF is a reformulation of the traditional ensemble Kalman filter that employs stochastic neural networks to model…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Xiao Liu , Geoffrey Clark , Joseph Campbell , Yifan Zhou , Heni Ben Amor