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Model-based Bayesian inference for sample and population-level causal estimands has been growing in popularity. This literature routinely emphasizes clear specification of the target estimand, however blind implementation of standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Arman Oganisian

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have demonstrated strong capacity in supporting a wide variety of applications. Shapley value has emerged as a prominent tool to analyze feature importance to help people understand the inference process of deep…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-19 Xiaolei Lu

This paper deals with an important subject in classification problems addressed by machine learning techniques: the evaluation of the influence of each of the features on the classification of individuals. Specifically, a measure of that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-21 L. Davila-Pena , Ignacio García-Jurado , B. Casas-Méndez

In this paper we define a population parameter, ``Generalized Variable Importance Metric (GVIM)'', to measure importance of predictors for black box machine learning methods, where the importance is not represented by model-based parameter.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Mohammad Kaviul Anam Khan , Olli Saarela , Rafal Kustra

Shapley values has established itself as one of the most appropriate and theoretically sound frameworks for explaining predictions from complex machine learning models. The popularity of Shapley values in the explanation setting is probably…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-24 Martin Jullum , Annabelle Redelmeier , Kjersti Aas

Shapley value is a popular approach for measuring the influence of individual features. While Shapley feature attribution is built upon desiderata from game theory, some of its constraints may be less natural in certain machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-28 Yongchan Kwon , James Zou

We present Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI), an approach to perform Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods. SNVI combines likelihood-estimation (or likelihood-ratio-estimation) with variational inference to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

Survey sampling plays an important role in the efficient allocation and management of resources. The essence of survey sampling lies in acquiring a sample of data points from a population and subsequently using this sample to estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-29 Jonne Pohjankukka , Sakari Tuominen , Jukka Heikkonen

Causal inference in a program evaluation setting faces the problem of external validity when the treatment effect in the target population is different from the treatment effect identified from the population of which the sample is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Kyungchul Song , Zhengfei Yu

Structural Causal Models (SCM) are a powerful framework for describing complicated dynamics across the natural sciences. A particularly elegant way of interpreting SCMs is do-Shapley, a game-theoretic method of quantifying the average…

We propose a variant of the Shapley value, the group Shapley value, to interpret counterfactual simulations in structural economic models by quantifying the importance of different components. Our framework compares two sets of parameters,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-10 Yongchan Kwon , Sokbae Lee , Guillaume A. Pouliot

We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana

Statistical model checking avoids the exponential growth of states associated with probabilistic model checking by estimating properties from multiple executions of a system and by giving results within confidence bounds. Rare properties…

性能 · 计算机科学 2012-01-26 Cyrille Jégourel , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards

Recent advances in game informatics have enabled us to find strong strategies across a diverse range of games. However, these strategies are usually difficult for humans to interpret. On the other hand, research in Explainable Artificial…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-03-13 Satoru Fujii

A great deal of effort has been devoted to reducing the risk of spurious scientific discoveries, from the use of sophisticated validation techniques, to deep statistical methods for controlling the false discovery rate in multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-03 Cynthia Dwork , Vitaly Feldman , Moritz Hardt , Toniann Pitassi , Omer Reingold , Aaron Roth

The semivarying coefficient models are widely used in the application of finance, economics, medical science and many other areas. The functional coefficients are commonly estimated by local smoothing methods, e.g. local linear estimator.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Heng Peng , Chuanlong Xie , Jingxin Zhao

As data becomes the fuel driving technological and economic growth, a fundamental challenge is how to quantify the value of data in algorithmic predictions and decisions. For example, in healthcare and consumer markets, it has been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Amirata Ghorbani , James Zou

In multivariate pattern analysis of neuroimaging data, 'second-level' inference is often performed by entering classification accuracies into a $t$-test vs chance level across subjects. We argue that while the random-effects analysis…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-08-11 Carsten Allefeld , Kai Görgen , John-Dylan Haynes

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) can be used to estimate the parameters of complex mechanistic models given observed model outputs without requiring access to explicit likelihood evaluations. A prime example for the application of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Jonas Beck , Michael Deistler , Yves Bernaerts , Jakob Macke , Philipp Berens

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design and population-level information. The population-level information is summarized in the form of estimating equations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock , Michael S. Rendall