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To analyze multivariate time series, most previous methods assume regular subsampling of time series, where the interval between adjacent measurements and the number of samples remain unchanged. Practically, data collection systems could…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Yuxi Wei , Juntong Peng , Tong He , Chenxin Xu , Jian Zhang , Shirui Pan , Siheng Chen

This paper applies the functional sieve bootstrap (FSB) to estimate the distribution of the partial sum process for time series stemming from a weakly stationary functional process. Consistency of the FSB procedure under weak assumptions on…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

The paper is concerned with asymptotic properties of the principal components analysis of functional data. The currently available results assume the existence of the fourth moment. We develop analogous results in a setting which does not…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-10 Piotr Kokoszka , Stilian Stoev , Qian Xiong

We study the detection of change-points in time series. The classical CUSUM statistic for detection of jumps in the mean is known to be sensitive to outliers. We thus propose a robust test based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic.…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-10 Herold Dehling , Roland Fried , Isabel García , Martin Wendler

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

We consider the problem of testing for long-range dependence in time-varying coefficient regression models, where the covariates and errors are locally stationary, allowing complex temporal dynamics and heteroscedasticity. We develop KPSS,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-10 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

The problem of quantifying uncertainty about the locations of multiple change points by means of confidence intervals is addressed. The asymptotic distribution of the change point estimators obtained as the local maximisers of moving sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

This paper analyses the use of bootstrap methods to test for parameter change in linear models estimated via Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS). Two types of test are considered: one where the null hypothesis is of no change and the alternative…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-03 Otilia Boldea , Adriana Cornea-Madeira , Alastair R. Hall

In this paper, a novel Koopman-type inverse operator for linear time-invariant non-minimum phase systems with stochastic disturbances is proposed. This operator employs functions of the desired output to directly calculate the input.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-09 Yuhan Li , Xiaoqiang Ji

Hypothesis testing for the slope function in functional linear regression is of both practical and theoretical interest. We develop a novel test for the nullity of the slope function, where testing the slope function is transformed into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin

This paper proposes a class of origin-smooth approximators of indicators underlying the sum-of-negative-part statistic for testing multiple inequalities. The need for simulation or bootstrap to obtain test critical values is thereby…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-27 Le-Yu Chen , Jerzy Szroeter

We develop monitoring procedures for cointegrating regressions, testing the null of no breaks against the alternatives that there is either a change in the slope, or a change to non-cointegration. After observing the regression for a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-03-30 Lorenzo Trapani , Emily Whitehouse

In this note, we present a novel measure of similarity between two functions. It quantifies how the sub-optimality gaps of two functions convert to each other, and unifies several existing notions of functional similarity. We show that it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-15 Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

In functional data analysis (FDA), covariance function is fundamental not only as a critical quantity for understanding elementary aspects of functional data but also as an indispensable ingredient for many advanced FDA methods. This paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-24 Raymond K. W. Wong , Xiaoke Zhang

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

We develop a monitoring procedure to detect changes in a large approximate factor model. Letting $r$ be the number of common factors, we base our statistics on the fact that the $\left( r+1\right) $-th eigenvalue of the sample covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Lorenzo Trapani

Most existing methods for testing equality of means of functional data from multiple populations rely on assumptions of equal covariance and/or Gaussianity. In this work we provide a new testing method based on a statistic that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Chuang Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Yanrong Yang

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

Irregular multivariate time series with missing values present significant challenges for predictive modeling in domains such as healthcare. While deep learning approaches often focus on temporal interpolation or complex architectures to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Dingyi Nie , Yixing Wu , C. -C. Jay Kuo

Change in the coefficients or in the mean of the innovation distribution of an INAR(p) process is a sign of disturbance that is important to detect. The methods of this paper can test for change in any one of these quantities separately, or…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-18 Gyula Pap , Tamás T. Szabó