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Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a method for solving numerical integration problems in a Bayesian manner, which allows users to quantify their uncertainty about the solution. The standard approach to BQ is based on a Gaussian process (GP)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Harrison Zhu , Xing Liu , Ruya Kang , Zhichao Shen , Seth Flaxman , François-Xavier Briol

Hypothesis testing is an essential statistical method in psychology and the cognitive sciences. The problems of traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) have been discussed widely, and among the proposed solutions to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-28 Riko Kelter

Bayesian coresets have emerged as a promising approach for implementing scalable Bayesian inference. The Bayesian coreset problem involves selecting a (weighted) subset of the data samples, such that the posterior inference using the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Jacky Y. Zhang , Rajiv Khanna , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

When using the finite element method (FEM) in inverse problems, its discretization error can produce parameter estimates that are inaccurate and overconfident. The Bayesian finite element method (BFEM) provides a probabilistic model for the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-26 Anne Poot , Iuri Rocha , Pierre Kerfriden , Frans van der Meer

Bayesian inference is an effective approach for solving statistical learning problems especially with uncertainty and incompleteness. However, inference efficiencies are physically limited by the bottlenecks of conventional computing…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2017-11-06 Xiaotao Jia , Jianlei Yang , Zhaohao Wang , Yiran Chen , Hai , Li , Weisheng Zhao

With rapid development of techniques to measure brain activity and structure, statistical methods for analyzing modern brain-imaging play an important role in the advancement of science. Imaging data that measure brain function are usually…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Haoyi Fu , Lu Tang , Ori Rosen , Alison E. Hipwell , Theodore J. Huppert , Robert T. Krafty

We introduce a rigorous and sensitive significance test for hyperuniformity that yields reliable results even from a single sample. Our approach is based on a detailed analysis of the empirical Fourier transform of a stationary point…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-23 Michael A. Klatt , Günter Last , Norbert Henze

This paper explores Bayesian estimation for categorical data, focusing on simple yet effective models that provide a foundation for applying more advanced methods accurately and reliably in real-world applications. We begin by revisiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Jan Kalina

A popular approach for testing if two univariate random variables are statistically independent consists of partitioning the sample space into bins, and evaluating a test statistic on the binned data. The partition size matters, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-28 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Shachar Kaufman , Barak Brill , Malka Gorfine

Bayesian linear mixed-effects models and Bayesian ANOVA are increasingly being used in the cognitive sciences to perform null hypothesis tests, where a null hypothesis that an effect is zero is compared with an alternative hypothesis that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-15 Daniel J. Schad , Bruno Nicenboim , Shravan Vasishth

Usually one compares the accuracy of two competing classifiers via null hypothesis significance tests (nhst). Yet the nhst tests suffer from important shortcomings, which can be overcome by switching to Bayesian hypothesis testing. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-23 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Janez Demšar , Francesca Mangili , Marco Zaffalon

Identifying genetic variants that regulate quantitative traits, or QTLs, is the primary focus of the field of statistical genetics. Most current methods are limited to identifying mean effects, or associations between genotype and the mean…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-12-08 Bianca Dumitrascu , Gregory Darnell , Julien Ayroles , Barbara E Engelhardt

Analogues of the frequentist chi-square and F tests are proposed for testing goodness-of-fit and consistency for Bayesian models. Simple examples exhibit these tests' detection of inconsistency between consecutive experiments with identical…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-16 L. B. Lucy

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

In large scale multiple testing problems, a two-class empirical Bayes approach can be used to control the false discovery rate (Fdr) for the entire array of hypotheses under study. A sample splitting step is incorporated to modify that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-13 Paramita Chakraborty , Chong Ma , John Grego , James Lynch

Bayesian hypothesis testing is investigated when the prior probabilities of the hypotheses, taken as a random vector, are quantized. Nearest neighbor and centroid conditions are derived using mean Bayes risk error as a distortion measure…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2008-09-20 Kush R. Varshney , Lav R. Varshney

In many hypothesis testing applications, we have mixed priors, with well-motivated informative priors for some parameters but not for others. The Bayesian methodology uses the Bayes factor and is helpful for the informative priors, as it…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

Establishing the frequentist properties of Bayesian approaches widens their appeal and offers new understanding. In hypothesis testing, Bayesian model averaging addresses the problem that conclusions are sensitive to variable selection. But…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-12 Helen R. Fryer , Nicolas Arning , Daniel J. Wilson

We have developed a frequentist approach for model selection which determines the consistency between any cosmological model and the data using the distribution of likelihoods from the iterative smoothing method. Using this approach, we…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-30 Hanwool Koo , Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo , Benjamin L'Huillier

In this paper, we consider Bayesian hypothesis testing for the balanced one-way random effects model. A special choice of the prior formulation for the ratio of variance components is shown to yield an explicit closed-form Bayes factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-27 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun