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This paper studies semiparametric Bayesian inference for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) within the difference-in-differences (DiD) research design. We propose two new Bayesian methods with frequentist validity. The first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-17 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

Fairness-aware machine learning has garnered significant attention in recent years because of extensive use of machine learning in sensitive applications like judiciary systems. Various heuristics, and optimization frameworks have been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-28 Abhishek Roy , Prasant Mohapatra

Mediation analysis is a form of causal inference that investigates indirect effects and causal mechanisms. Confidence intervals for indirect effects play a central role in conducting inference. The problem is non-standard leading to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-17 Kees Jan van Garderen , Noud van Giersbergen

Predicting and executing a sequence of actions without intermediate replanning, known as action chunking, is increasingly used in robot learning from human demonstrations. Yet, its effects on the learned policy remain inconsistent: some…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Yuejiang Liu , Jubayer Ibn Hamid , Annie Xie , Yoonho Lee , Maximilian Du , Chelsea Finn

In the fight against hard-to-treat diseases such as cancer, it is often difficult to discover new treatments that benefit all subjects. For regulatory agency approval, it is more practical to identify subgroups of subjects for whom the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-09 Wei-Yin Loh , Xu He , Michael Man

Population adjustment methods such as matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) are increasingly used to compare marginal treatment effects when there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers and limited patient-level data. MAIC…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

The renowned difference-in-differences (DiD) estimator relies on the assumption of 'parallel trends,' which does not hold in many practical applications. To address this issue, the econometrics literature has turned to the triple difference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Sina Akbari , Negar Kiyavash

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

Learning causal structure from observational data is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. However, the majority of commonly used differentiable causal discovery methods are non-identifiable, turning this problem into a continuous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Yu Wang , An Zhang , Xiang Wang , Yancheng Yuan , Xiangnan He , Tat-Seng Chua

Background. A central objective among health researchers across disciplines is to identify modifiable factors that can reduce health disparities. Three common methods--difference-in-coefficients (DIC), Kitagawa-Oaxaca-Blinder (KOB), and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Soojin Park , Su Yeon Kim , Chioun Lee

We propose a new class of metrics, called the survival independence divergence (SID), to test dependence between a right-censored outcome and covariates. A key technique for deriving the SIDs is to use a counting process strategy, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Jinhong Li , Jicai Liu , Jinhong You , Riquan Zhang

We extend the regression discontinuity (RD) design to settings where each unit's treatment status is an average or aggregate across multiple discontinuity events. Such situations arise in many studies where the outcome is measured at a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-03 Kirill Borusyak , Matan Kolerman-Shemer

In a seminal paper Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller [2010] (ADH), see also Abadie and Gardeazabal [2003], Abadie et al. [2014], develop the synthetic control procedure for estimating the effect of a treatment, in the presence of a single…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-21 Nikolay Doudchenko , Guido W. Imbens

Background. Designing trials to reduce treatment duration is important in several therapeutic areas, including TB and antibiotics. We recently proposed a new randomised trial design to overcome some of the limitations of standard two-arm…

Differential item functioning (DIF) is a widely used statistical notion for identifying items that may disadvantage specific groups of test-takers. These groups are often defined by non-manipulable characteristics, e.g., gender,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Youmi Suk , Weicong Lyu

Comparisons of treatments, interventions, or exposures are of central interest in epidemiology, but direct comparisons are not always possible due to practical or ethical reasons. Here, we detail a fusion approach to compare treatments…

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is frequently estimated to refute the homogeneous treatment effect assumption. Under this assumption, all units making up the population under study experience identical benefit from a given…

Causal mediation analysis is a powerful tool for disentangling the total effect of a treatment into its direct effect on the outcome and its indirect effect mediated through an intermediate variable. However, in observational studies,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Yuhao Deng , Haoyu Wei , Zhongzhe Ouyang

The plausibility of the ``parallel trends assumption'' in Difference-in-Differences estimation is usually assessed by a test of the null hypothesis that the difference between the average outcomes of both groups is constant over time before…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-18 Holger Dette , Martin Schumann

We consider estimating the conditional average treatment effect for everyone by eliminating confounding and selection bias. Unfortunately, randomized clinical trials (RCTs) eliminate confounding but impose strict exclusion criteria that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Eric V. Strobl , Thomas A. Lasko