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相关论文: Data-Driven Infectious Disease Control with Uncert…

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Ebola virus is one of the most virulent pathogens for humans. We present a mathematical description of different Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) models. By using mathematical modeling and analysis, the latest major outbreak…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-08-01 Amira Rachah , Delfim F. M. Torres

We propose a mathematical framework, based on conic geometric programming, to control a susceptible-infected-susceptible viral spreading process taking place in a directed contact network with unknown contact rates. We assume that we have…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-12-09 Shuo Han , Victor M. Preciado , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

The Ebola virus is currently one of the most virulent pathogens for humans. The latest major outbreak occurred in Guinea, Sierra Leonne and Liberia in 2014. With the aim of understanding the spread of infection in the affected countries, it…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-03-26 Amira Rachah , Delfim F. M. Torres

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

This paper presents a real time, data driven decision support framework for epidemic control. We combine a compartmental epidemic model with sequential Bayesian inference and reinforcement learning (RL) controllers that adaptively choose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Giacomo Iannucci , Petros Barmpounakis , Alexandros Beskos , Nikolaos Demiris

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

In regard to infectious diseases socioeconomic determinants are strongly associated with differential exposure and susceptibility however they are seldom accounted for by standard compartmental infectious disease models. These associations…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Alison C Hale , Jonathan M Read , Christopher P Jewell

During an infectious disease pandemic, it is critical to share electronic medical records or models (learned from these records) across regions. Applying one region's data/model to another region often have distribution shift issues that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-12 Ye Ye , Andrew Gu

Efficient allocation of limited medical resources is crucial for controlling epidemic spreading on networks. Based on the susceptible-infected-susceptible model, we solve an optimization problem as how best to allocate the limited resources…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-08-02 Hanshuang Chen , Guofeng Li , Haifeng Zhang , Zhonghuai Hou

The Ebola virus and the disease in effect tend to randomly move individuals in the population around susceptible, infected, quarantined, hospitalized, recovered, and dead sub-population. Motivated by the effectiveness in propagating the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-22 Olaide N. Oyelade , Absalom E. Ezugwu

We create a network model to study the spread of an epidemic through physically proximate and accidental daily human contacts in a city, and simulate outcomes for two kinds of agents - poor and non-poor. Under non-intervention, peak…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-01-27 Anand Sahasranaman , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

To mitigate the impact of the pandemic, several measures include lockdowns, rapid vaccination programs, school closures, and economic stimulus. These interventions can have positive or unintended negative consequences. Current research to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Gaurav Deshkar , Jayanta Kshirsagar , Harshal Hayatnagarkar , Janani Venugopalan

can evolve simultaneously. For the information-driven adaptive process, susceptible (infected) individuals who have abilities to recognize the disease would break the links of their infected (susceptible) neighbors to prevent the epidemic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-20 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Gui-Quan Sun , Zi-Ke Zhang

Multiple epidemiological models have been proposed to predict the spread of Ebola in West Africa. These models include consideration of counter-measures meant to slow and, eventually, stop the spread of the disease. Here, we examine one…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-11-14 Joshua S. Weitz , Jonathan Dushoff

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

In the absence of drugs and vaccines, policymakers use non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing to decrease rates of disease-causing contact, with the aim of reducing or delaying the epidemic peak. These measures carry…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-22 Dylan H. Morris , Fernando W. Rossine , Joshua B. Plotkin , Simon A. Levin

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

Existing strategies for determining the optimal treatment or monitoring strategy typically assume unlimited access to resources. However, when a health system has resource constraints, such as limited funds, access to medication, or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-18 Ellen C Caniglia , Eleanor J Murray , Miguel A Hernan , Zach Shahn

The effective use of limited resources for controlling spreading processes on networks is of prime significance in diverse contexts, ranging from the identification of "influential spreaders" for maximizing information dissemination and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-06-01 Andrey Y. Lokhov , David Saad