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A/B tests, also known as randomized controlled experiments (RCTs), are the gold standard for evaluating the impact of new policies, products, or decisions. However, these tests can be costly in terms of time and resources, potentially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Shima Nassiri , Mohsen Bayati , Joe Cooprider

The control of complex systems faces a trade-off between high performance and safety guarantees, which in particular restricts the application of learning-based methods to safety-critical systems. A recently proposed framework to address…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Sequential techniques can enhance the efficiency of the approximate Bayesian computation algorithm, as in Sisson et al.'s (2007) partial rejection control version. While this method is based upon the theoretical works of Del Moral et al.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-10-11 Mark A. Beaumont , Jean-Marie Cornuet , Jean-Michel Marin , Christian P. Robert

This paper investigates the use of synthetic control methods for causal inference in macroeconomic settings when dealing with possibly nonstationary data. While the synthetic control approach has gained popularity for estimating…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-29 Zhentao Shi , Jin Xi , Haitian Xie

In this work, we investigate the data-driven safe control synthesis problem for unknown dynamic systems. We first formulate the safety synthesis problem as a robust convex program (RCP) based on notion of control barrier function. To…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-04 Yu Chen , Chao Shang , Xiaolin Huang , Xiang Yin

We propose a performance-based autotuning method for cascade control systems, where the parameters of a linear axis drive motion controller from two control loops are tuned jointly. Using Bayesian optimization as all parameters are tuned…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-22 Mohammad Khosravi , Varsha Behrunani , Piotr Myszkorowski , Roy S. Smith , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

An approach is presented for robustness analysis and quantum (unitary) control synthesis based on the classic method of averaging. The result is a multicriterion optimization competing the nominal (uncertainty-free) fidelity with a well…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Robert L. Kosut , Gaurav Bhole , Herschel Rabitz

Motivated by a recent literature on the double-descent phenomenon in machine learning, we consider highly over-parameterized models in causal inference, including synthetic control with many control units. In such models, there may be so…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-16 Jann Spiess , Guido Imbens , Amar Venugopal

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

The optimal design of experiments typically involves solving an NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem. In this paper, we aim to develop a globally convergent and practically efficient optimization algorithm. Specifically, we consider a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-29 Yiping Lu , Jiajin Li , Lexing Ying , Jose Blanchet

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker

Control synthesis under constraints is at the forefront of research on autonomous systems, in part due to its broad application from low-level control to high-level planning, where computing control inputs is typically cast as a constrained…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-23 Panagiotis Rousseas , Haejoon Lee , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Dimitra Panagou

Bayesian inference for inverse problems involves computing expectations under posterior distributions -- e.g., posterior means, variances, or predictive quantities -- typically via Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. When the quantity of interest…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Ali Siahkoohi , Hyunwoo Oh

This work investigates the sequential hypothesis testing problem with online sensor selection and sensor usage constraints. That is, in a sensor network, the fusion center sequentially acquires samples by selecting one "most informative"…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-01-26 Shang Li , Xiaoou Li , Xiaodong Wang , Jingchen Liu

A novel robust nonlinear model predictive control strategy is proposed for systems with nonlinear dynamics and convex state and control constraints. Using a sequential convex approximation approach and a difference of convex functions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-28 Yana Lishkova , Mark Cannon

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

In the management of most chronic conditions characterized by the lack of universally effective treatments, adaptive treatment strategies (ATSs) have been growing in popularity as they offer a more individualized approach, and sequential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-03 Armando Turchetta , Erica E. M. Moodie , David A. Stephens , Sylvie D. Lambert

This paper presents a novel approach for robust periodic attitude control of satellites. Respecting the periodicity of the satellite dynamics in the synthesis allows to achieve constant performance and robustness requirements over the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-21 Frederik Thiele , Felix Biertümpfel , Harald Pfifer

We consider optimal control problems for partial differential equations where the controls take binary values but vary over the time horizon, they can thus be seen as dynamic switches. The switching patterns may be subject to combinatorial…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-04 Christoph Buchheim , Alexandra Grütering , Christian Meyer

The doubly robust estimator, which models both the propensity score and outcomes, is a popular approach to estimate the average treatment effect in the potential outcome setting. The primary appeal of this estimator is its theoretical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Kaoru Babasaki , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn