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Accurate models of clinical actions and their impacts on disease progression are critical for estimating personalized optimal dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) in medical/health research, especially in managing chronic conditions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-19 William Hua , Hongyuan Mei , Sarah Zohar , Magali Giral , Yanxun Xu

Correctly identifying an individual's social context from passively worn sensors holds promise for delivering just-in-time adaptive interventions (JITAIs) to treat social anxiety disorder. In this study, we present results using passively…

Many state-of-the-art algorithms for solving hard combinatorial problems in artificial intelligence (AI) include elements of stochasticity that lead to high variations in runtime, even for a fixed problem instance. Knowledge about the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Katharina Eggensperger , Marius Lindauer , Frank Hutter

The interAdapt R package is designed to be used by statisticians and clinical investigators to plan randomized trials. It can be used to determine if certain adaptive designs offer tangible benefits compared to standard designs, in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-06-19 Aaron Fisher , Harris Jaffee , Michael Rosenblum

Contextual bandits often provide simple and effective personalization in decision making problems, making them popular tools to deliver personalized interventions in mobile health as well as other health applications. However, when bandits…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-28 Jiayu Yao , Emma Brunskill , Weiwei Pan , Susan Murphy , Finale Doshi-Velez

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

This report outlines work by the Modeling Transformative AI Risk (MTAIR) project, an attempt to map out the key hypotheses, uncertainties, and disagreements in debates about catastrophic risks from advanced AI, and the relationships between…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Sam Clarke , Ben Cottier , Aryeh Englander , Daniel Eth , David Manheim , Samuel Dylan Martin , Issa Rice

The optimal prophylaxis, and treatment if the prophylaxis fails, for a disease may be best evaluated using a sequential multiple assignment randomised trial (SMART). A SMART is a multi-stage study that randomises a participant to an initial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Robert K. Mahar , Katherine J. Lee , Bibhas Chakraborty , Agus Salim , Julie A. Simpson

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian

Background: Adaptive interventions provide a guide for using ongoing information about individuals to decide whether and how to modify the type, amount, delivery modality, or timing of treatment, to improve intervention effectiveness while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 John J. Dziak , Inbal Nahum-Shani

Dynamic Item Response Models extend the standard Item Response Theory (IRT) to capture temporal dynamics in learner ability. While these models have the potential to allow instructional systems to actively monitor the evolution of learner…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-16 Yunsung Kim , Sreechan Sankaranarayanan , Chris Piech , Candace Thille

This paper presents a non-iterative approach for finding the assignment of heterogeneous robots to efficiently execute online Pickup and Just-In-Time Delivery (PJITD) tasks with optimal resource utilization. The PJITD assignments problem is…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Shridhar Velhal , Srikrishna B R , Mukunda Bharatheesha , Suresh Sundaram

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) models have gained popularity when analyzing time-to-event outcomes because RMST models offer more straightforward interpretations of treatment effects with fewer assumptions than hazard ratios commonly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-23 Kaiyuan Hua , Xiaofei Wang , Hwanhee Hong

An optimal dynamic treatment regime (DTR) is a sequence of decision rules aimed at providing the best course of treatments individualized to patients. While conventional DTR estimation uses longitudinal data, such data can also be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Larry Dong , Eleanor Pullenayegum , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Olli Saarela

We consider the problem of variance reduction in randomized controlled trials, through the use of covariates correlated with the outcome but independent of the treatment. We propose a machine learning regression-adjusted treatment effect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-07 Yongyi Guo , Dominic Coey , Mikael Konutgan , Wenting Li , Chris Schoener , Matt Goldman

Accurately quantifying uncertainty of individual treatment effects (ITEs) across multiple decision points is crucial for personalized decision-making in fields such as healthcare, finance, education, and online marketplaces. Previous work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Swaraj Bose , Walter Dempsey

Item response theory (IRT) models have been widely used in educational measurement testing. When there are repeated observations available for individuals through time, a dynamic structure for the latent trait of ability needs to be…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-04-17 Xiaojing Wang , James O. Berger , Donald S. Burdick

Indirect experiments provide a valuable framework for estimating treatment effects in situations where conducting randomized control trials (RCTs) is impractical or unethical. Unlike RCTs, indirect experiments estimate treatment effects by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-06 Yash Chandak , Shiv Shankar , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Emma Brunskill

This paper systematically explores the advancements in adaptive trip route planning and travel time estimation (TTE) through Artificial Intelligence (AI). With the increasing complexity of urban transportation systems, traditional…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Nikil Jayasuriya , Deshan Sumanathilaka