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We present a new Monte Carlo methodology for the accurate estimation of the distribution of the sum of dependent log-normal random variables. The methodology delivers statistically unbiased estimators for three distributional quantities of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Zdravko Botev , Robert Salomone , Daniel MacKinlay

We present bounds for the finite sample error of sequential Monte Carlo samplers on static spaces. Our approach explicitly relates the performance of the algorithm to properties of the chosen sequence of distributions and mixing properties…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-19 Joe Marion , Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

The uncertainty of Compton backscattering process is studied by virtue of analytical formulas, and the special effects of variant energy spread and energy drift on the systematic uncertainty estimation are also studied with Monte Carlo…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2013-12-13 X. H. Mo

We introduce a numerical algorithm to stochastically sample the dual fermion perturbation series around the dynamical mean field theory, generating all topologies of two-particle interaction vertices. We show results in the weak and strong…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2016-07-07 Sergei Iskakov , Andrey E. Antipov , Emanuel Gull

We report multipronged progress on the stochastic averaging approach to numerical analytic continuation of quantum Monte Carlo data. With the sampled spectrum parametrized with delta-functions in continuous frequency space, a calculation of…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2023-01-11 Hui Shao , Anders W. Sandvik

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

A method for analytic continuation of imaginary-time correlation functions (here obtained in quantum Monte Carlo simulations) to real-frequency spectral functions is proposed. Stochastically sampling a spectrum parametrized by a large…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2017-06-30 Anders W. Sandvik

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higher-order variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-29 Jinyong Hahn , David W. Hughes , Guido Kuersteiner , Whitney K. Newey

The presence of erratic or unstable paths in standard kinetic Monte Carlo simulations significantly undermines the accurate simulation and sampling of transition pathways. While typically reliable methods, such as the Gillespie algorithm,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-03 Elad Korngut , Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

The Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKF) employ a Monte-Carlo approach to represent covariance information, and are affected by sampling errors in operational settings where the number of model realizations is much smaller than the model state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-06 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu , Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Geir Evensen

We consider the problem of numerical approximation of integrals of random fields over a unit hypercube. We use a stratified Monte Carlo quadrature and measure the approximation performance by the mean squared error. The quadrature is…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-05 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

Although real-world complex systems typically interact through sparse and heterogeneous networks, analytic solutions of their dynamics are limited to models with all-to-all interactions. Here, we solve the dynamics of a broad range of…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-01-28 Fernando L. Metz

Dynamical mean-field theory allows access to the physics of strongly correlated materials with nontrivial orbital structure, but relies on the ability to solve auxiliary multi-orbital impurity problems. The most successful approaches to…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2023-11-29 Dolev Goldberger , Yehonatan Fridman , Emanuel Gull , Eitan Eidelstein , Guy Cohen

A novel mean-field approximation for quasi-one-dimensional (Q1D) quantum magnets is formulated. Our new mean-field approach is based on the Bethe-type effective-field theory, where thermal and quantum fluctuations between the…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2008-12-12 Synge Todo , Akira Shibasaki

We describe a number of strategies for minimizing and calculating accurately the statistical uncertainty in quantum Monte Carlo calculations. We investigate the impact of the sampling algorithm on the efficiency of the variational Monte…

计算物理 · 物理学 2012-02-14 R. M. Lee , G. J. Conduit , N. Nemec , P. Lopez Rios , N. D. Drummond

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

计算物理 · 物理学 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

Drawing a sample from a discrete distribution is one of the building components for Monte Carlo methods. Like other sampling algorithms, discrete sampling suffers from the high computational burden in large-scale inference problems. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-29 Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

Semiclassical dispersion corrections developed by Grimme and coworkers have become indispensable in applications of Kohn-Sham density functional theory. We present an in-depth assessment of the fit parameters present in semiclassical…

化学物理 · 物理学 2018-05-15 Thomas Weymuth , Jonny Proppe , Markus Reiher

We study the implications of including many covariates in a first-step estimate entering a two-step estimation procedure. We find that a first order bias emerges when the number of \textit{included} covariates is "large" relative to the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-07-27 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Xinwei Ma

Empirical relationships are derived for the expected sampling error of quantile estimations using Monte Carlo experiments for two frequency distributions frequently encountered in climate sciences. The relationships found are expressed as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-12 Philippe Roy , René Laprise , Philippe Gachon