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We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

We develop an entropic framework to model the dynamics of stocks and European Options. Entropic inference is an inductive inference framework equipped with proper tools to handle situations where incomplete information is available. The…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-08-20 Mohammad Abedi , Daniel Bartolomeo

We investigate Ising model description of dynamics of stock price. The model is defined in near 2 dimensions, one dimension is time and another represents ensemble of stocks, and strength of response of investors to price change corresponds…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Takeshi Inagaki

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Ju-Yi J. Yen

We suggest an original physical approach to describe the mechanism of market pricing. The core of our approach is to consider pricing at different time scales separately, using independent equations of motion. Such an approach leads to a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-06-24 Denis M. Filatov , Maksim A. Vanyarkho

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Stefan Bornholdt , Yoshi Fujiwara

In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-09-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Hasanjan Sayit

The collective phenomena of a liquid market is characterized in terms of a particle system scenario. This physical analogy enables us to disentangle intrinsic features from purely stochastic ones. The latter are the result of environmental…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 G. Cuniberti , M. Porto , H. E. Roman

Robustness is a basic property of any control system. In the context of linear output regulation, it was proved that embedding an internal model of the exogenous signals is necessary and sufficient to achieve tracking of the desired…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-23 Michelangelo Bin , Daniele Astolfi , Lorenzo Marconi

An asset pricing model using long-run capital share growth risk has recently been found to successfully explain U.S. stock returns. Our paper adopts a recursive preference utility framework to derive an heterogeneous asset pricing model…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-26 Joseph P. Byrne , Boulis M. Ibrahim , Xiaoyu Zong

This paper tends to define the quantitative relationship between the stock price and time as a time function. Based on the empirical evidence that the log-return of a stock is the series of white noise, a mathematical model of the integral…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-22 Shengfeng Mei , Hong Gao

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-08-24 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

Under proportional transaction costs, a price process is said to have a consistent price system, if there is a semimartingale with an equivalent martingale measure that evolves within the bid-ask spread. We show that a continuous,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-09-16 Christian Bender , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Hasanjan Sayit

A new branch based on Markov processes is developing in the recent literature of financial time series modeling. In this paper, an Indexed Markov Chain has been used to model high frequency price returns of quoted firms. The peculiarity of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-02-06 Guglielmo D'Amico , Ada Lika , Filippo Petroni