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Background: When planning a cluster randomized trial, evaluators often have access to an enumerated cohort representing the target population of clusters. Practicalities of conducting the trial, such as the need to oversample clusters with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Sarah E. Robertson , Jon A. Steingrimsson , Issa J. Dahabreh

Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) has been widely used for sensitivity estimation with discontinuous integrands as a standard simulation technique. A major limitation of using CMC in this context is that finding conditioning variables to ensure…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-22 Guiyun Feng , Guangwu Liu

Instrumental variable methods are widely used in medical and social science research to draw causal conclusions when the treatment and outcome are confounded by unmeasured confounding variables. One important feature of such studies is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Bo Zhang , Siyu Heng , Emily J. MacKay , Ting Ye

Mendelian randomization uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to make causal inferences about the effects of modifiable risk factors on diseases from observational data. One of the major challenges in Mendelian randomization is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Youpeng Su , Siqi Xu , Yilei Ma , Ping Yin , Wing Kam Fung , Hongwei Jiang , Peng Wang

We consider a population of N individuals, whose dynamics through time is represented by a biparental Moran model with two types: an advantaged type and a disadvantaged type. The advantage is due to a mutation, transmitted in a Mendelian…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-15 Camille Coron , Yves Le Jan

In some causal inference scenarios, the treatment variable is measured inaccurately, for instance in epidemiology or econometrics. Failure to correct for the effect of this measurement error can lead to biased causal effect estimates.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Antti Pöllänen , Pekka Marttinen

We consider the conditional randomization test as a way to account for covariate imbalance in randomized experiments. The test accounts for covariate imbalance by comparing the observed test statistic to the null distribution of the test…

Cell--cell communication (CCC) is commonly inferred from ligand--receptor co-expression, an associational paradigm that cannot distinguish causal signaling from shared regulation or confounding. We propose MR-CCC, a Bayesian Mendelian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Bitan Sarkar , Yang Ni

We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, non-binary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-05 Alexander V. Bulinski , Alexander S. Rakitko

Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

Computing observables from conditioned dynamics is typically computationally hard, because, although obtaining independent samples efficiently from the unconditioned dynamics is usually feasible, generally most of the samples must be…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2026-01-08 Alfredo Braunstein , Giovanni Catania , Luca Dall'Asta , Matteo Mariani , Anna Paola Muntoni

The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

Methods utilizing instrumental variables have been a fundamental statistical approach to estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounding, usually occurring in non-randomized observational data common to fields such as economics and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-06 Charles Spanbauer , Wei Pan

The goal of feature selection is to identify important features that are relevant to explain an outcome variable. Most of the work in this domain has focused on identifying globally relevant features, which are features that are related to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , James Zou

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently issued guidance that emphasizes the importance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-12 Kelly Van Lancker , Frank Bretz , Oliver Dukes

Many scientific questions in biomedical, environmental, and psychological research involve understanding the effects of multiple factors on outcomes. While factorial experiments are ideal for this purpose, randomized controlled treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Ruoqi Yu , Peng Ding

Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors.…

This study introduces a data-driven, machine learning-based method to detect suitable control variables and instruments for assessing the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data. Our approach tests the joint…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-20 Nicolas Apfel , Julia Hatamyar , Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

In genome-wide epigenetic studies, exposures (e.g., Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms) affect outcomes (e.g., gene expression) through intermediate variables such as DNA methylation. Mediation analysis offers a way to study these intermediate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Asmita Roy , Xianyang Zhang