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To make informed policy recommendations from observational data, we must be able to discern true treatment effects from random noise and effects due to confounding. Difference-in-Difference techniques which match treated units to control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Nicholas Illenberger , Dylan S. Small , Pamela A. Shaw

In observational studies, covariate imbalance generates confounding, resulting in biased comparisons. Although propensity score-based weighting approaches facilitate unconfounded group comparisons for implicit target populations, existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Subharup Guha , David C. Christiani , Yi Li

Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) offers fast, scalable approximations to posterior densities by training neural surrogates on data simulated from the statistical model. However, ABI methods are highly sensitive to model misspecification:…

The first step towards investigating the effectiveness of a treatment via a randomized trial is to split the population into control and treatment groups then compare the average response of the treatment group receiving the treatment to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-30 Hossein Babaei , Sina Alemohammad , Richard Baraniuk

The difference in restricted mean survival times between two groups is a clinically relevant summary measure. With observational data, there may be imbalances in confounding variables between the two groups. One approach to account for such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-10-17 Andrew Wey , David Vock , John Connett , Kyle Rudser

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with covariate-adaptive randomization when there are multiple treatments. More specifically, we study inference about the average effect of one or more treatments relative to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-21 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Azeem M. Shaikh

Treatment effect estimation is a fundamental problem in causal inference. We focus on designing efficient randomized controlled trials, to accurately estimate the effect of some treatment on a population of $n$ individuals. In particular,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Raghavendra Addanki , David Arbour , Tung Mai , Cameron Musco , Anup Rao

With the growing access to administrative health databases, retrospective studies have become crucial evidence for medical treatments. Yet, non-randomized studies frequently face selection biases, requiring mitigation strategies. Propensity…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Alexandre Abraham , Andrés Hoyos Idrobo

When treatment effect modifiers influence the decision to participate in a randomized trial, the average treatment effect in the population represented by the randomized individuals will differ from the effect in other populations. In this…

In confirmatory clinical trials, survival outcomes are frequently studied and interim analyses for efficacy and/or futility are often desirable. Methods such as the log rank test and Cox regression model are commonly used to compare…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-27 Peter Zhang , Brent Logan , Michael Martens

Test-time adaptation aims to improve model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting models with access to unlabeled target samples. A primary cause of performance degradation under such shifts is the model's reliance on features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Yingnan Liu , Rui Qiao , Mong Li Lee , Wynne Hsu

The increasing availability of individual-level data has led to numerous applications of individualized (or personalized) treatment rules (ITRs). Policy makers often wish to empirically evaluate ITRs and compare their relative performance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-06 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

Randomized experimentation (also known as A/B testing or bucket testing) is widely used in the internet industry to measure the metric impact obtained by different treatment variants. A/B tests identify the treatment variant showing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Cyrus DiCiccio , Romil Bansal , Preetam Nandy , Padmini Jaikumar , Shaunak Chatterjee

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)s are relied upon to assess new treatments, but suffer from limited power to guide personalized treatment decisions. On the other hand, observational (i.e., non-experimental) studies have large and diverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Ming-Chieh Shih , Michael Oberst , Ilker Demirel , David Sontag

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) may suffer from limited scope. In particular, samples may be unrepresentative: some RCTs over- or under- sample individuals with certain characteristics compared to the target population, for which one…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-15 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Gaël Varoquaux , Erwan Scornet

Heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) are increasingly estimated using machine learning models that produce highly personalized predictions of treatment effects. In practice, however, predicted treatment effects are rarely interpreted,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Joel Persson , Jurriën Bakker , Dennis Bohle , Stefan Feuerriegel , Florian von Wangenheim

Self-triggered control (STC) is a sample-and-hold control method aimed at reducing communications within networked-control systems; however, existing STC mechanisms often maximize how late the next sample is, and as such they do not provide…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-10 Gabriel de Albuquerque Gleizer , Khushraj Madnani , Manuel Mazo

Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard when estimating the average treatment effect. However, they are usually not a random sample from the real-world population because of the inclusion/exclusion rules. Meanwhile, observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Kuan Jiang , Wenjie Hu , Shu Yang , Xinxing Lai , Xiaohua Zhou

Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to predict population-level effects of health care policies by simulating individual-level outcomes. Simulated outcomes are governed by unknown parameters that are chosen so that the model accurately…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Carolyn Rutter , Jonathan Ozik , Maria DeYoreo , Nicholson Collier

Randomization, as a key technique in clinical trials, can eliminate sources of bias and produce comparable treatment groups. In randomized experiments, the treatment effect is a parameter of general interest. Researchers have explored the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma , Hanzhong Liu