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We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

In this paper optimal experimental designs for inverse quadratic regression models are determined. We consider two different parameterizations of the model and investigate local optimal designs with respect to the $c$-, $D$- and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-09-30 H. Dette , C. Kiss

In this thesis, a Bayes linear methodology for the adjustment of covariance matrices is presented and discussed. A geometric framework for quantifying uncertainties about covariance matrices is set up, and an inner-product for spaces of…

bayes-an · 物理学 2016-08-31 Darren J Wilkinson

In this paper we construct optimal designs for frequentist model averaging estimation. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the model averaging estimate with fixed weights in the case where the competing models are non-nested and none…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Kira Alhorn , Holger Dette , Kirsten Schorning

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

This paper introduces a subspace method for the estimation of an array covariance matrix. It is shown that when the received signals are uncorrelated, the true array covariance matrices lie in a specific subspace whose dimension is…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2014-11-04 Mostafa Rahmani , George Atia

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Bayesian optimal experiments that maximize the information gained from collected data are critical to efficiently identify behavioral models. We extend a seminal method for designing Bayesian optimal experiments by introducing two…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Stefano Balietti , Brennan Klein , Christoph Riedl

The present paper deals with the problem of allocating patients to two competing treatments in the presence of covariates or prognostic factors in order to achieve a good trade-off among ethical concerns, inferential precision and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-17 Alessandro Baldi Antognini , Maroussa Zagoraiou

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods tackle complex scientific models with challenging inverse problems. However, SBI models often face a significant hurdle due to their non-differentiable nature, which hampers the use of gradient-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-29 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

Under a generalised estimating equation analysis approach, approximate design theory is used to determine Bayesian D-optimal designs. For two examples, considering simple exchangeable and exponential decay correlation structures, we compare…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-16 Laura Etfer , James M. S. Wason , Michael J. Grayling

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Most computational approaches to Bayesian experimental design require making posterior calculations repeatedly for a large number of potential designs and/or simulated datasets. This can be expensive and prohibit scaling up these methods to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Dennis Prangle , Sophie Harbisher , Colin S Gillespie

Complex system design problems, such as those involved in aerospace engineering, require the use of numerically costly simulation codes in order to predict the performance of the system to be designed. In this context, these codes are often…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-14 Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent

We have established the association matrix that expresses the estimator of effects under baseline parameterization, which has been considered in some recent literature, in an equivalent form as a linear combination of estimators of effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Xietao Zhou , Steven G. Gilmour

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Large spatial datasets are becoming ubiquitous in environmental sciences with the explosion in the amount of data produced by sensors that monitor and measure the Earth system. Consequently, the geostatistical analysis of these data…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-06 Thomas Romary , Nicolas Desassis