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Pedestrian dynamics simulates the fine-scaled trajectories of individuals in a crowd. It has been used to suggest public health interventions to reduce infection risk in important components of air travel, such as during boarding and in…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-10-21 Ashok Srinivasan , Satkkeerthi Sriram , Sirish Namilae , Andrew Arash Mahyari

The seasonality of respiratory diseases (common cold, influenza, etc.) is a well-known phenomenon studied from ancient times. The development of predictive models is still not only an actual unsolved problem of mathematical epidemiology but…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-04-28 Eugene B. Postnikov , Dmitry V. Tatarenkov

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for informing public health decisions and timely interventions. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks have shown promise in various scientific domains, their potential application to real-time…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-20 Martina Rama , Gabriele Santin , Giulia Cencetti , Michele Tizzoni , Bruno Lepri

Digital traces of our lives are now constantly produced by various connected devices, internet services and interactions. Our actions result in a multitude of heterogeneous data objects, or traces, kept in various locations in the cloud or…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-04-12 Daniela Vianna , Varvara Kalokyri , Alexander Borgida , Thu D. Nguyen , Amelie Marian

Multi-fidelity methods combine inexpensive low-fidelity simulations with costly but high-fidelity simulations to produce an accurate model of a system of interest at minimal cost. They have proven useful in modeling physical systems and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-27 Erik J. Schlicht , Ritchie Lee , David H. Wolpert , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Brendan Tracey

Understanding human behavior is a fundamental goal of social sciences, yet its analysis presents significant challenges. Conventional methodologies employed for the study of behavior, characterized by labor-intensive data collection…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Dominik Schiller , Tobias Hallmen , Daksitha Withanage Don , Elisabeth André , Tobias Baur

We examine the role of textual data as study units when conducting causal inference by drawing parallels between human subjects and organized texts. %in human population research. We elaborate on key causal concepts and principles, and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-03 Bo Zhang , Jiayao Zhang

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose…

Recent work has attempted to characterize the structure of semantic memory and the search algorithms which, together, best approximate human patterns of search revealed in a semantic fluency task. There are a number of models that seek to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2017-12-01 Filip Miscevic , Aida Nematzadeh , Suzanne Stevenson

Despite the recent development of methods dealing with partially observed epidemic dynamics (unobserved model coordinates, discrete and noisy outbreak data), limitations remain in practice, mainly related to the quantity of augmented data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-26 Romain Narci , Maud Delattre , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Accurately analyzing and modeling online browsing behavior play a key role in understanding users and technology interactions. In this work, we design and conduct a user study to collect browsing data from 31 participants continuously for…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-08-17 Yuliia Lut , Michael Wang , Elissa M. Redmiles , Rachel Cummings

A prompt public health response to a new epidemic relies on the ability to monitor and predict its evolution in real time as data accumulate. The 2009 A/H1N1 outbreak in the UK revealed pandemic data as noisy, contaminated, potentially…

Accurate and representative data is vital for precisely reporting the impact of influenza in healthcare systems. Northern hemisphere winter 2022/23 experienced the most substantial influenza wave since the COVID-19 pandemic began in 2020.…

We develop a multiple compartment Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to analyze the spread of several infectious diseases through different geographic areas. Additionally, we propose a data-quality sensitive optimization framework…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-06-21 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Daniela Paolotti , Nir Sochen , Elad Yom-Tov

Seasonal influenza causes on average 425,000 hospitalizations and 32,000 deaths per year in the United States. Forecasts of influenza-like illness (ILI) -- a surrogate for the proportion of patients infected with influenza -- support public…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Ningxi Wei , Xinze Zhou , Wei-Min Huang , Thomas McAndrew

A central challenge in every field of biology is to use existing measurements to predict the outcomes of future experiments. In this work, we consider the wealth of antibody inhibition data against variants of the influenza virus. Due to…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-07-27 Tal Einav , Rong Ma

Given the complexity of human minds and their behavioral flexibility, it requires sophisticated data analysis to sift through a large amount of human behavioral evidence to model human minds and to predict human behavior. People currently…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-04-13 Shimei Pan , Tao Ding

Owing to recent advances in artificial intelligence and internet of things (IoT) technologies, collected big data facilitates high computational performance, while its computational resources and energy cost are large. Moreover, data are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-24 Hiroyasu Ando , T. Okamoto , H. Chang , T. Noguchi , Shinji Nakaoka

Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-01-12 Parth Kothari , Sven Kreiss , Alexandre Alahi

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani