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Wind power plays an increasingly significant role in achieving the 2050 Net Zero Strategy. Despite its rapid growth, its inherent variability presents challenges in forecasting. Accurately forecasting wind power generation is one key demand…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Tao Shen , Jethro Browell , Daniela Castro-Camilo

This paper describes an adaptive method to reduce a nonlinear power system model for fast and accurate transient stability simulation. It presents an approach to analyze and rank participation factors of each system state variable into…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-02-21 Mahsa Sajjadi , Kaiyang Huang , Kai Sun

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

We develop and analyze a method for stochastic simulation optimization based on Gaussian process models within a trust-region framework. We focus on settings where the variance of the objective function is large, making accurate estimation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-10 Mickael Binois , Jeffrey Larson

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

This manuscript offers the perspective of experimentalists on a number of modern data-driven techniques: model predictive control relying on Gaussian processes, adaptive data-driven control based on behavioral theory, and deep reinforcement…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-01 Loris Di Natale , Yingzhao Lian , Emilio T. Maddalena , Jicheng Shi , Colin N. Jones

Adaptive sampling based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) has already been applied with considerable success to generate boundary test scenarios for multi-UAV systems (MUS). One of the key techniques in such researches is leveraging the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-29 Hanxu Jiang , Haiyue Yu , Xiaotong Xie , Qi Gao , Jiang Jiang , Jianbin Sun

In this paper, an offset-free bilinear model predictive control approach for wind turbines is presented. State-of-the-art controllers employ different control loops for pitch angle and generator torque which switch depending on wind…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-30 Arnold Sterle , Aaron Grapentin , Christian A. Hans , Jörg Raisch

The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes approach coupled with the standard $k-\varepsilon$ model is widely utilized for wind-energy applications. However, it has been shown that the standard $k-\varepsilon$ model overestimates the turbulence…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-01-03 Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Mahdi Abkar

Reliable wind turbine power prediction is imperative to the planning, scheduling and control of wind energy farms for stable power production. In recent years Machine Learning (ML) methods have been successfully applied in a wide range of…

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Lulu Kang , Minshen Xu

This study explores the effectiveness of predictive maintenance models and the optimization of intelligent Operation and Maintenance (O&M) systems in improving wind power generation efficiency. Through qualitative research, structured…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-21 Xun Liu , Xiaobin Wu , Jiaqi He , Rajan Das Gupta

Experiments in engineering are typically conducted in controlled environments where parameters can be set to any desired value. This assumes that the same applies in a real-world setting -- an assumption that is often incorrect as many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Mike Diessner , Kevin J. Wilson , Richard D. Whalley

Over the past decade, wind energy has gained more attention in the world. However, owing to its indirectness and volatility properties, wind power penetration has increased the difficulty and complexity in dispatching and planning of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Onder Eyecioglu , Batuhan Hangun , Korhan Kayisli , Mehmet Yesilbudak

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning to control which actions to take towards completing a task through trial-and-error. In many applications observing interactions is costly, necessitating sample-efficient learning. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Charles Gadd , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski

In the last five years, the financial industry has been impacted by the emergence of digitalization and machine learning. In this article, we explore two methods that have undergone rapid development in recent years: Gaussian processes and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-03-13 Joan Gonzalvez , Edmond Lezmi , Thierry Roncalli , Jiali Xu

Understanding the dynamics of climate variables is paramount for numerous sectors, like energy and environmental monitoring. This study focuses on the critical need for a precise mapping of environmental variables for national or regional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Pietro Colombo , Claire Miller , Xiaochen Yang , Ruth O'Donnell , Paolo Maranzano

Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

A new probabilistic post-processing method for wind vectors is presented in a distributional regression framework employing the bivariate Gaussian distribution. In contrast to previous studies all parameters of the distribution are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-26 Moritz N. Lang , Georg J. Mayr , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach