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A data-driven MPC scheme is proposed to safely control constrained stochastic linear systems using distributionally robust optimization. Distributionally robust constraints based on the Wasserstein metric are imposed to bound the state…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-19 Zhengang Zhong , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Panagiotis Petsagkourakis

This article aims to introduce the paradigm of distributional robustness from the field of convex optimization to tackle optimal design problems under uncertainty. We consider realistic situations where the physical model, and thereby the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-30 Charles Dapogny , Julien Prando , Boris Thibert

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging since the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs about the model's parameters. However, minimising the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

In recent years, machine learning methods have been widely used to study physical systems that are challenging to solve with governing equations. Physicists and engineers are framing the data-driven paradigm as an alternative approach to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-07-02 Jong-Hoon Ahn

We present a data-driven framework for reachability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems that requires no explicit model. A denoising diffusion probabilistic model learns the time-evolving state distribution of a dynamical system from…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-02 Yanliang Huang , Peng Xie , Wenyuan Wu , Zhuoqi Zeng , Amr Alanwar

Diffusion probabilistic models have recently achieved remarkable success in generating high-quality images. However, balancing high perceptual quality and low distortion remains challenging in application of diffusion models in image…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-23 Juan Song , Jiaxiang He , Lijie Yang , Mingtao Feng , Keyan Wang

This paper focuses on solving a data-driven distributionally robust optimization problem over a network of agents. The agents aim to minimize the worst-case expected cost computed over a Wasserstein ambiguity set that is centered at the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-08-23 Ashish Cherukuri , Alireza Zolanvari , Goran Banjac , Ashish R. Hota

In this work, we develop a novel data-driven Bayesian nonparametric Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (BNWDRO) framework for decision-making under uncertainty. The proposed framework unifies a Bayesian nonparametric method…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-07 Chao Ning , Xutao Ma

Using data alone, without knowledge of underlying physical models, nonlinear discrete time regional forecasting dynamical rules are constructed employing well tested methods from applied mathematics and nonlinear dynamics. Observations of…

The notions of generating sets of conservation laws of systems of differential equations with respect to symmetry groups and equivalence groups are introduced and applied. This allows us to generalize essentially the procedure of finding…

数学物理 · 物理学 2007-10-17 N. M. Ivanova , R. O. Popovych , C. Sophocleous

In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

Data-driven machine learning methodologies have attracted considerable attention for the control and estimation of dynamical systems. However, such implementations suffer from a lack of predictability and robustness. Thus, adoption of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-08 Aditya Gahlawat , Sambhu H. Karumanchi , Naira Hovakimyan

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

This paper investigates the robust optimal control of sampled-data stochastic systems with multiplicative noise and distributional ambiguity. We consider a class of discrete-time optimal control problems where the controller \emph{jointly}…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-05 Chung-Han Hsieh

We introduce a data-driven dynamic factor framework for modeling the joint evolution of high-dimensional covariates and responses without parametric assumptions. Standard factor models applied to covariates alone often lose explanatory…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Graeme Baker , Agostino Capponi , J. Antonio Sidaoui

We introduce the novel family of probability distributions on hyperbolic disc. The distinctive property of the proposed family is invariance under the actions of the group of disc-preserving conformal mappings. The group-invariance property…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-25 Vladimir Jacimovic , Marijan Markovic

The paper presents an approach to the modelling of epistemic uncertainty in Conjunction Data Messages (CDM) and the classification of conjunction events according to the confidence in the probability of collision. The approach proposed in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Luis Sanchez , Massimiliano Vasile , Silvia Sanvido , Klaus Mertz , Christophe Taillan

Training time-series forecasting models requires aligning the conditional distribution of model forecasts with that of the label sequence. The standard direct forecast (DF) approach resorts to minimizing the conditional negative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yuan Lu , Zhixuan Chu , Xiaoxi Li , Shuting He , Zhichao Chen , Haoxuan Li , Qingsong Wen , Zhouchen Lin

Robust MDPs (RMDPs) can be used to compute policies with provable worst-case guarantees in reinforcement learning. The quality and robustness of an RMDP solution are determined by the ambiguity set---the set of plausible transition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Marek Petrik , Reazul Hasan Russell

In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach for uncertainty propagation and reachability analysis in a dynamical system. The proposed approach relies on the linear lifting of a nonlinear system using linear Perron-Frobenius (P-F) and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-22 Amarsagar Reddy Ramapuram Matavalam , Umesh Vaidya , Venkataramana Ajjarapu