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相关论文: Online Hierarchical Forecasting for Power Consumpt…

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The Internet of Things (IoT) system generates massive high-speed temporally correlated streaming data and is often connected with online inference tasks under computational or energy constraints. Online analysis of these streaming time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-26 Rui Xie , Shuyang Bai , Ping Ma

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

A novel approach is applied for improving forecast accuracy and achieving coherence in forecasting the Italian daily energy generation time series. In hierarchical frameworks such as national energy generation disaggregated by geographical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

Distribution system residential load modeling and analysis for different geographic areas within a utility or an independent system operator territory are critical for enabling small-scale, aggregated distributed energy resources to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-08-16 Isaac Bromley-Dulfano , Xiangqi Zhu , Barry Mather

The increased awareness regarding the impact of energy consumption on the environment has led to an increased focus on reducing energy consumption. Feedback on the appliance level energy consumption can help in reducing the energy demands…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-16 Shalini Pandey , George Karypis

Optimal decision-making compels us to anticipate the future at different horizons. However, in many domains connecting together predictions from multiple time horizons and abstractions levels across their organization becomes all the more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Julien Leprince , Henrik Madsen , Jan Kloppenborg Møller , Wim Zeiler

We consider the problem of estimating the unobserved amount of photovoltaic (PV) generation and demand in a power distribution network starting from measurements of the aggregated power flow at the point of common coupling (PCC) and local…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Fabrizio Sossan , Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Mario Paolone

We present a comparative study of different probabilistic forecasting techniques on the task of predicting the electrical load of secondary substations and cabinets located in a low voltage distribution grid, as well as their aggregated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-17 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Kristijan Lopatichki , Fabrizio Sossan

Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization. Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty in wind energy generation, which depends on weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Lucas English , Mahdi Abolghasemi

The large scale deployment of Advanced Metering Infrastructure among residential energy customers has served as a boon for energy systems research relying on granular consumption data. Residential Demand Response aims to utilize the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-07-05 Datong Zhou , Maximilian Balandat , Claire Tomlin

This paper presents a new algorithm to extract device profiles fully unsupervised from three phases reactive and active aggregate power measurements. The extracted device profiles are applied for the disaggregation of the aggregate power…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-24 Karoline Brucke , Stefan Arens , Jan-Simon Telle , Thomas Steens , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert

Energy (load, wind, photovoltaic) forecasting is significant in the power industry as it can provide a reference for subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, thus bringing huge economic benefits. However, there are many differences…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Zhixian Wang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Liang Sun , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Shirui Pan , Yi Wang

Existing hierarchical forecasting techniques scale poorly when the number of time series increases. We propose to learn a coherent forecast for millions of time series with a single bottom-level forecast model by using a sparse loss…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Olivier Sprangers , Wander Wadman , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Daily electricity consumption forecasting is a classical problem. Existing forecasting algorithms tend to have decreased accuracy on special dates like holidays. This study decomposes the daily electricity consumption series into three…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-25 Zhou Lan , Ben Liu , Yi Feng , Danhuang Dong , Peng Zhang

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-19 Wei Jiang , Zhongkai Yi , Li Wang , Hanwei Zhang , Jihai Zhang , Fangquan Lin , Cheng Yang

The so-called Internet of Things (IoT) and advanced communication technologies have already demonstrated a great potential to manage residential energy resources via demand-side management. This work presents a home energy management system…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-20 Hafiz Majid Hussain , Pedro H. J. Nardelli

We present a hierarchical framework aimed at decentralizing the distribution systems market operations using localized peer-to-peer energy markets. Hierarchically designed decision-making algorithm approaches the power systems market…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Sakshi Mishra , Roohallah Khatami , Yu Christine Chen

This paper discusses how usage patterns and preferences of inhabitants can be learned efficiently to allow smart homes to autonomously achieve energy savings. We propose a frequent sequential pattern mining algorithm suitable for real-life…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-10-02 Daniel Schweizer , Michael Zehnder , Holger Wache , Hans-Friedrich Witschel , Danilo Zanatta , Miguel Rodriguez