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This article extends the multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT) to discrete settings, focusing on the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as a foundational tool. The purpose of the study is to enhance the understanding of extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-25 Samira Aka , Marie Kratz , Philippe Naveau

The univariate generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is the most commonly used tool for analyzing the properties of rare events. The ever greater utilization of Bayesian methods for extreme value analysis warrants detailed…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

The existence of large and extreme claims of a non-life insurance portfolio influences the ability of (re)insurers to estimate the reserve. The excess over-threshold method provides a way to capture and model the typical behaviour of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-07 Yinzhi Wang , Ingrid Hobæk Haff , Arne Huseby

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is exploited to determine the global stability threshold $R_g$ of plane Couette flow --the flow of a viscous fluid in the space between two parallel plates-- whose laminar or turbulent behavior depends on the…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-03-24 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Paul Manneville , Jeroen Wouters

We propose a transformation capable of altering the tail properties of a distribution, motivated by extreme value theory, which can be used as a layer in a normalizing flow to approximate multivariate heavy tailed distributions. We apply…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-02 Tennessee Hickling , Dennis Prangle

It is important to understand to what extent, and in what perspectives, cyber attacks can be predicted. Despite its evident importance, this problem was not investigated until very recently, when we proposed using the innovative methodology…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2016-03-25 Zhenxin Zhan , Maochao Xu , Shouhuai Xu

In this short note, I comment on the research of Pisarenko et al. (2014) regarding the extreme value theory and statistics in case of earthquake magnitudes. The link between the generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) as an asymptotic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Mathias Raschke

By introducing a weight function into the density power divergence, we develop a new class of robust and smooth estimators for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions, offering improved efficiency in the presence of outliers. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-25 Saida Mancer , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks with widespread applications across machine learning and artificial intelligence systems. While current research has predominantly focused on linear diffusions, these…

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Ratios of central order statistics seem to be very useful for estimating the tail of the distributions and therefore, quantiles outside the range of the data. In 1995 Isabel Fraga Alves investigated the rate of convergence of three…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-03 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Milan Stehlí k

This paper considers a single-antenna wirelesspowered communication network (WPCN) over a flat-fading channel. We show that, by using our probabilistic harvestand-transmit (PHAT) strategy, which requires the knowledge of instantaneous full…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-07-17 Arman Ahmadian , Hyuncheol Park

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Many random phenomena, including life-testing and environmental data, show positive values and excess zeros, which pose modeling challenges. In life testing, immediate failures result in zero lifetimes, often due to defects or poor quality,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Shivshankar Nila , Ishapathik Das , N. Balakrishna

In this paper, the problem of joint power and resource allocation (JPRA) for ultra-reliable low-latency communication (URLLC) in vehicular networks is studied. Therein, the network-wide power consumption of vehicular users (VUEs) is…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Sumudu Samarakoon , Mehdi Bennis , Walid Saad , Merouane Debbah

Accurate channel modeling plays a pivotal role in optimizing communication systems, and fitting field measurements to stochastic models is crucial for capturing the key propagation features and to map these to achievable system…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-10 Santiago Fernández , José David Vega-Sánchez , Juan E. Galeote-Cazorla , F. Javier López-Martínez

Extreme quantile regression provides estimates of conditional quantiles outside the range of the data. Classical quantile regression performs poorly in such cases since data in the tail region are too scarce. Extreme value theory is used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-22 Jasper Velthoen , Clément Dombry , Juan-Juan Cai , Sebastian Engelke

Estimation of tail quantities, such as expected shortfall or Value at Risk, is a difficult problem. We show how the theory of nonlinear expectations, in particular the Data-robust expectation introduced in [5], can assist in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-15 Samuel N. Cohen