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In this paper we refine the process of computing calibration functions for a number of multiclass classification surrogate losses. Calibration functions are a powerful tool for easily converting bounds for the surrogate risk (which can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-22 Bernardo Ávila Pires , Csaba Szepesvári

Machine learning provides a data-driven approach for creating a digital twin of a system - a digital model used to predict the system behavior. Having an accurate digital twin can drive many applications, such as controlling autonomous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Robert M. Kent , Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

In this study, we investigate the potential of fast-to-evaluate surrogate modeling techniques for developing a hybrid digital twin of a steel-reinforced concrete beam, serving as a representative example of a civil engineering structure. As…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Tarik Sahin , Daniel Wolff , Max von Danwitz , Alexander Popp

Deep neural network (DNN) classifiers are often overconfident, producing miscalibrated class probabilities. In high-risk applications like healthcare, practitioners require $\textit{fully calibrated}$ probability predictions for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-09 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

In recent years, applying deep learning to solve physics problems has attracted much attention. Data-driven deep learning methods produce fast numerical operators that can learn approximate solutions to the whole system of partial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Yining Luo , Yingfa Chen , Zhen Zhang

We develop a parametric error model to construct a digital twin of a superconducting transmon qubit device. The model parameters are extracted from hardware calibration data and supplementary benchmarking circuits, providing a dynamic,…

Over the past several years, various federated learning (FL) methodologies have been developed to improve model accuracy, a primary performance metric in machine learning. However, to utilize FL in practical decision-making scenarios,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Yun-Wei Chu , Dong-Jun Han , Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Christopher Brinton

Parameter calibration is essential for reducing uncertainty and improving predictive fidelity in physics-based models, yet it is often limited by the high computational cost of model evaluations. Bayesian calibration methods provide a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Maike F. Holthuijzen , Atlanta Chakraborty , Elizabeth Krath , Tommie Catanach

Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

The fusion of LiDARs and cameras has been increasingly adopted in autonomous driving for perception tasks. The performance of such fusion-based algorithms largely depends on the accuracy of sensor calibration, which is challenging due to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Yuxuan Xiao , Yao Li , Chengzhen Meng , Xingchen Li , Jianmin Ji , Yanyong Zhang

In the field of medical image analysis, achieving high accuracy is not enough; ensuring well-calibrated predictions is also crucial. Confidence scores of a deep neural network play a pivotal role in explainability by providing insights into…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Usma Niyaz , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Efficient solid-liquid separation is crucial in industries like mining, but traditional chamber filter presses depend heavily on manual monitoring, leading to inefficiencies, downtime, and resource wastage. This paper introduces a machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Dennis Teutscher , Tyll Weber-Carstanjen , Stephan Simonis , Mathias J. Krause

This paper presents the development of a calibrated digital twin of a wheel loader. A calibrated digital twin integrates a construction vehicle with a high-fidelity digital model allowing for automated diagnostics and optimization of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-08-13 Deniz Karanfil , Daniel Lindmark , Martin Servin , David Torick , Bahram Ravani

Optimal decision making requires that classifiers produce uncertainty estimates consistent with their empirical accuracy. However, deep neural networks are often under- or over-confident in their predictions. Consequently, methods have been…

Data center cooling systems consume significant auxiliary energy, yet optimization studies rarely quantify the gap between theoretically optimal and operationally deployable control strategies. This paper develops a digital twin of the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-10 Shrenik Jadhav , Zheng Liu

Contextual clinical reasoning demands robust inference grounded in complex, heterogeneous clinical records. While state-of-the-art fine-tuning, in-context learning (ICL), and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) enable knowledge exposure,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-04-09 Chuang Zhao , Hongke Zhao , Xiaofang Zhou , Xiaomeng Li

Multifidelity surrogate modelling combines data of varying accuracy and cost from different sources. It strategically uses low-fidelity models for rapid evaluations, saving computational resources, and high-fidelity models for detailed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-24 Daniel N Wilke