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A fundamental problem associated with the task of network reconstruction from dynamical or behavioral data consists in determining the most appropriate model complexity in a manner that prevents overfitting, and produces an inferred network…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-24 Tiago P. Peixoto

A number of recent contributions have put forward the topological structure of production networks as a key determinant of macro-economic dynamics. However, firm-to-firm production networks data is generally not available. Against this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Mitja Devetak , Antoine Mandel

Using the secured transactions recorded within the Money Markets Statistical Reporting database of the European Central Bank, we test several stylized facts regarding interbank market of the 47 largest banks in the eurozone. We observe that…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-22 Victor Le Coz , Nolwenn Allaire , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

This paper introduces a formulation of the optimal network compression problem for financial systems. This general formulation is presented for different levels of network compression or rerouting allowed from the initial interbank network.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-07-14 Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

There is a large consensus on the fundamental role of firm-level supply chain networks in macroeconomics. However, data on supply chains at the fine-grained, firm level are scarce and frequently incomplete. For listed firms, some commercial…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-04 Andrea Bacilieri , Pablo Austudillo-Estevez

In the past years statistical physics has been successfully applied for complex networks modelling. In particular, it has been shown that the maximum entropy principle can be exploited in order to construct graph ensembles for real-world…

Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

We use the exponential random graph models to understand the network structure and its generative process for the Japanese bipartite network of banks and firms. One of the well known and simple model of exponential random graph is the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-06-28 Abhijit Chakraborty , Hazem Krichene , Hiroyasu Inoue , Yoshi Fujiwara

We present a method for the reconstruction of networks, based on the order of nodes visited by a stochastic branching process. Our algorithm reconstructs a network of minimal size that ensures consistency with the data. Crucially, we show…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2010-06-07 Nick Fyson , Tijl De Bie , Nello Cristianini

Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

This mini-project models propagation of shocks, in time point, through links in connected banks. In particular, financial network of 100 banks out of which 15 are shocked to default (that is, 85.00% of the banks are solvent) is modelled…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-26 Sunday Akukodi Ugwu

A plethora of methods have been developed in the past two decades to infer the underlying network structure of an interconnected system from its collective dynamics. However, methods capable of inferring nonpairwise interactions are only…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-03-24 Robin Delabays , Giulia De Pasquale , Florian Dörfler , Yuanzhao Zhang

Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, substantial academic effort has been dedicated to improving our understanding of interbank lending networks (ILNs). Because of data limitations or by choice, the literature largely lacks multiple loan…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-12 Marnix Van Soom , Milan van den Heuvel , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

The insufficient understanding of the credit network structure was recognized as a key factor for regulators' underestimation of the destructive systematic risk during the financial crisis that started in 2007. The existing credit network…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-12-05 Xuan Lu , Li Huang , Kangjuan Lyu

Interbank markets are often characterised in terms of a core-periphery network structure, with a highly interconnected core of banks holding the market together, and a periphery of banks connected mostly to the core but not internally. This…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-09-18 Sadamori Kojaku , Giulio Cimini , Guido Caldarelli , Naoki Masuda

We construct a network of 1.6 million nodes from banking transactions of users of Rabobank. We assign two weights on each edge, which are the aggregate transferred amount and the total number of transactions between the users from the year…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-09-23 Akrati Saxena , Yulong Pei , Jan Veldsink , Werner van Ipenburg , George Fletcher , Mykola Pechenizkiy

We test the hypothesis that interconnections across financial institutions can be explained by a diversification motive. This idea stems from the empirical evidence of the existence of long-term exposures that cannot be explained by a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-02-24 Jean-Cyprien Héam , Erwan Koch

Most national economies are linked by international trade. Consequently, economic globalization forms a massive and complex economic network with strong links, that is, interactions arising from increasing trade. Various interesting…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-03 Yuichi Ikeda

Understanding the structural complexity and predictability of complex networks is a central challenge in network science. Although recent studies have revealed a relationship between compression-based entropy and link prediction…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Sebastián Brzovic , Cristóbal Rojas , Andrés Abeliuk