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相关论文: A new example for a proper scoring rule

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We provide full theoretical guarantees for the convergence behaviour of diffusion-based generative models under the assumption of strongly log-concave data distributions while our approximating class of functions used for score estimation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Stefano Bruno , Ying Zhang , Dong-Young Lim , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Sotirios Sabanis

In [1] a detailed analysis was given of the large-time asymptotics of the total mass of the solution to the parabolic Anderson model on a supercritical Galton-Watson random tree with an i.i.d. random potential whose marginal distribution is…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-07 Frank den Hollander , Daoyi Wang

We have analyzed some conditions which are essentially involved in deciding whether or not a probability distribution is unique (moment-determinate) or non-unique (moment-indeterminate) by its moments. We suggest new conditions concerning…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Jordan M. Stoyanov , Gwo Dong Lin , Peter Kopanov

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

Ordinal regression falls between discrete-valued classification and continuous-valued regression. Ordinal target variables can be associated with ranked random variables. These random variables are known as order statistics and they are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-12 Joonas Pääkkönen

In this work, we consider an estimation method in sparse Poisson models inspired by [1] and provide novel sign consistency results under mild conditions.

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-27 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

We introduce a class of learning problems where the agent is presented with a series of tasks. Intuitively, if there is relation among those tasks, then the information gained during execution of one task has value for the execution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-09-06 Christos Dimitrakakis

In distributed machine learning, data is dispatched to multiple machines for processing. Motivated by the fact that similar data points often belong to the same or similar classes, and more generally, classification rules of high accuracy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-12-16 Travis Dick , Mu Li , Venkata Krishna Pillutla , Colin White , Maria Florina Balcan , Alex Smola

We provide new convergence guarantees in Wasserstein distance for diffusion-based generative models, covering both stochastic (DDPM-like) and deterministic (DDIM-like) sampling methods. We introduce a simple framework to analyze…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Eliot Beyler , Francis Bach

We consider the problem of learning a discrete distribution in the presence of an $\epsilon$ fraction of malicious data sources. Specifically, we consider the setting where there is some underlying distribution, $p$, and each data source…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-23 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant

Diffusion models are typically trained using score matching, a learning objective agnostic to the underlying noising process that guides the model. This paper argues that Markov noising processes enjoy an advantage over alternatives, as the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Zheyang Shen , Huihui Wang , Marina Riabiz , Chris J. Oates

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a class of continuous-time state space models. In particular, we explore the case of a partially observed diffusion, with data also arriving according to a diffusion process. Based upon a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Hamza Ruzayqat

Feller's classic text 'An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications' contains a derivation of the well known significant-digit law called Benford's law. More specifically, Feller gives a sufficient condition ("large spread")…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-17 Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill

We use Monte Carlo techniques to simulate an organized prediction competition between a group of a scientific experts acting under the influence of a ``self-governing'' prediction reward algorithm. Our aim is to illustrate the advantages of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 J. O. Gonzalez-Hernandez , Jonathan Marino , Ted Rogers , Brandon Velasco

Focusing on motion of two interacting players in football games, two velocity vectors for the pair of one player and the nearest opponent player exhibit strong alignment. Especially, we find that there exists a characteristic interpersonal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-20 Takuma Narizuka , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Dempster-Shafer theory is widely applied in uncertainty modelling and knowledge reasoning due to its ability of expressing uncertain information. A distance between two basic probability assignments(BPAs) presents a measure of performance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-04-15 Meizhu Li , Qi Zhang , Xinyang Deng , Yong Deng

Analyzing football score data with statistical techniques, we investigate how the highly co-operative nature of the game is reflected in averaged properties such as the distributions of scored goals for the home and away teams. It turns out…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Elmar Bittner , Andreas Nussbaumer , Wolfhard Janke , Martin Weigel

Automated data-driven decision making systems are increasingly being used to assist, or even replace humans in many settings. These systems function by learning from historical decisions, often taken by humans. In order to maximize the…

The rating of items based on pairwise comparisons has been a topic of statistical investigation for many decades. Numerous approaches have been proposed. One of the best known is the Bradley-Terry model. This paper seeks to assemble and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn , David Firth

This note comments on parts of "New 5-designs." We cite Chebotarev's theorem; we correct some minor errors and we clarify our proof of the Gleason-Prange theorem.

组合数学 · 数学 2017-07-24 H. F. Mattson
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