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Consider semiparametric models that display local asymptotic exponentiality (Ibragimov and Has'minskii (1981)), an asymptotic property of the likelihood associated with discontinuities of densities. Our interest goes to estimation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Bas Kleijn , Bartek Knapik

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

One of the fundamental problems in Bayesian statistics is the approximation of the posterior distribution. Gibbs sampler and coordinate ascent variational inference are renownedly utilized approximation techniques that rely on stochastic…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-18 Se Yoon Lee

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Density estimation in high-dimensional settings is an important and challenging statistical problem.Traditional methods based on kernel smoothing are inefficient in high dimensions due to the difficulties in specifying appropriate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Ruitong Zhang , Ke Deng

Detection of an image boundary when the pixel intensities are measured with noise is an important problem in image segmentation, with numerous applications in medical imaging and engineering. From a statistical point of view, the challenge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

In this paper we propose tight upper and lower bounds for the Wasserstein distance between any two {{univariate continuous distributions}} with probability densities $p_1$ and $p_2$ having nested supports. These explicit bounds are…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-21 Christophe Ley , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

In Bayesian learning of Gaussian graphical model structure, it is common to restrict attention to certain classes of graphs and approximate the posterior distribution by repeatedly moving from one graph to another, using MCMC or methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Edmund Jones

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

In transfer learning, we wish to make inference about a target population when we have access to data both from the distribution itself, and from a different but related source distribution. We introduce a flexible framework for transfer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-03 Henry W. J. Reeve , Timothy I. Cannings , Richard J. Samworth

The theory of adaptive estimation and oracle inequalities for the case of Gaussian-shift--finite-interval experiments has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, sharp-minimax adaptive estimators and exact exponential-type…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

A variety of statistics based on sample spacings has been studied in the literature for testing goodness-of-fit to parametric distributions. To test the goodness-of-fit to a nonparametric class of univariate shape-constrained densities,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-28 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Hok Kan Ling , Chuan-Fa Tang , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

To reduce systematic uncertainties in Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) cosmology, the host galaxy dust law shape parameter, $R_V$, must be accurately constrained. We thus develop a computationally-inexpensive pipeline, Bird-Snack, to rapidly infer…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2023-10-13 Sam M. Ward , Suhail Dhawan , Kaisey S. Mandel , Matthew Grayling , Stephen Thorp

Sparseness of the regression coefficient vector is often a desirable property, since, among other benefits, sparseness improves interpretability. In practice, many true regression coefficients might be negligibly small, but non-zero, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Daniel Andrade , Kenji Fukumizu

An empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of possibly sparse sequences observed in Gaussian white noise is set out and investigated. The prior considered is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density \gamma,…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

In multivariate data analysis, it is often important to estimate a graph characterizing dependence among (p) variables. A popular strategy uses the non-zero entries in a (p\times p) covariance or precision matrix, typically requiring…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-01 Leo L. Duan , David B. Dunson
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