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Convex sample approximations of chance-constrained optimization problems are considered, in which chance constraints are replaced by sets of sampled constraints. We propose a randomized sample selection strategy that allows tight bounds to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-22 Mark Cannon

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

We introduce a new method of Bayesian wavelet shrinkage for reconstructing a signal when we observe a noisy version. Rather than making the common assumption that the wavelet coefficients of the signal are independent, we allow for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-17 Graeme K. Ambler , Bernard W. Silverman

This paper develops an analytical method of truncating inequality constrained Gaussian distributed variables where the constraints are themselves described by Gaussian distributions. Existing truncation methods either assume hard…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-06-08 Andrew W. Palmer , Andrew J. Hill , Steven J. Scheding

Variance-Gamma distributions are widely used in financial modelling and contain as special cases the normal, Gamma and Laplace distributions. In this paper we extend Stein's method to this class of distributions. In particular, we obtain a…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-01 Robert E. Gaunt

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

Quantile aggregation with dependence uncertainty has a long history in probability theory with wide applications in finance, risk management, statistics, and operations research. Using a recent result on inf-convolution of quantile-based…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-09-09 Jose Blanchet , Henry Lam , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

We investigate the sub-Gaussian property for almost surely bounded random variables. If sub-Gaussianity per se is de facto ensured by the bounded support of said random variables, then exciting research avenues remain open. Among these…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-16 Julyan Arbel , Olivier Marchal , Hien D. Nguyen

Bayesian clustering methods have the widely touted advantage of providing a probabilistic characterization of uncertainty in clustering through the posterior distribution. An amazing variety of priors and likelihoods have been proposed for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Garritt L. Page , Andrés F. Barrientos , David B. Dahl , David B. Dunson

A common method for assessing validity of Bayesian sampling or approximate inference methods makes use of simulated data replicates for parameters drawn from the prior. Under continuity assumptions, quantiles of functions of the simulated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nadja Klein

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

Simple inequalities are established for some integrals involving the modified Bessel functions of the first and second kind. In most cases, we show that we obtain the best possible constant or that our bounds are tight in certain limits. We…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2018-02-09 Robert E. Gaunt

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

In this paper we extend Stein's method to the distribution of the product of $n$ independent mean zero normal random variables. A Stein equation is obtained for this class of distributions, which reduces to the classical normal Stein…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-30 Robert E. Gaunt

We bound the variance and other moments of a random vector based on the range of its realizations, thus generalizing inequalities of Popoviciu (1935) and Bhatia and Davis (2000) concerning measures on the line to several dimensions. This is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-03 Tongseok Lim , Robert J. McCann

Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

We present a general approach, based on exponential inequalities, to derive bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Using this approach, we provide bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are commonly used to approximate posterior distributions in models with unknown or computationally intractable likelihoods. Classical ABC methods are based on nearest neighbor type algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Meili Baragatti , Casenave Céline , Bertrand Cloez , David Métivier , Isabelle Sanchez

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

We provide a simple, general argument to obtain improvements of concentration-type inequalities starting from improvements of their corresponding isoperimetric-type inequalities. We apply this argument to obtain robust improvements of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-14 Eric A. Carlen , Francesco Maggi